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Balance of Money Predictions – April 30

April 30th, 2005

  • Predicted Labour majority 78 seat (nc)
  • Predicted vote shares LAB 37.3 ( -0.3) : CON 33.6 (+0.2): LD 22 (+0.1)
  • The spread markets are based on all-UK figures while the opinion polls report their figures on a GB basis excluding Northern Ireland and the latter are roughly 0.97 of the former. So a Labour spread of 37-37.5% equates roughly to 38.1%-38.6% when comparing with an opinion poll.

    The regular BALANCE OF MONEY predictions are based on how spread betting gamblers are investing their money on all the main UK markets from Spreadfair, IG Index, and Sporting Index.

    A full round-up of all General Election Betting is available here

    HELPING POLITICALBETTING This is not a commercial site and is operated by my son Robert and I for what we describe as “fun”. With the massive increase in traffic we have huge bandwidth costs and we are hoping to be able to defray at least part of these from commissions we get from bookmakers. We would be grateful if you could use the links on the site and to mention Politicalbetting if you are opening an account. Many thanks.

    Mike Smithson






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