Could the result not be a forgone conclusion after all? So far punters have not got very excited about next Thursday’s by-elections in Bromley and Blaenau Gwent and on the betting markets very little money has been wagered. The Tories look a near certainty to hold onto the outer London seat and there’s does not seem to be much interest in whether Labour can win back its former Welsh stronghold taken by the late Peter Laws in 2005 after the…
“..Is 0.38/1 a good investment for part of my lump sum?” Last week I was emailed by JH who is considering whether to bet £10,000 from his pension on Gordon Brown. He’s just retired with an index linked pension based on his final salary and has been looking at ways of getting a good return from his tax free lump sum. JH has been following PB.C for some time and he had come to the conclusion that sometimes, such as…
This thread is for comments that are not in keeping with my post of yesterday Grandad walloped again by TB at PMQ’s yesterday,also TB managed to highlight the garbage that’s put out in Lib Dem literature at election time. The ‘all things to all people’ stuff is wearing pretty thin and great that its being more & more exposed,on the other hand everyone knows the Lib Dems have a snowball’s chance in hell of ever forming a government so I…
Do we need to have active moderation? A few days I was round the pub with three fellow Lib Dems who I would describe as serious activists. These are the sort of guys who at election times think nothing of commuting 200-300 miles a day to help in seats where they believe they can make a difference. After we had got the first round in one of the group opened by saying “Come on guys – when is the Cameron…
ICM’s data shows Tories leading by 11 points amongst females On the day Labour launched the next stage of its plan to deal with David Cameron ICM released full data from its June poll showing a big gender divide in support for the parties. Delegates arriving to hear the Tory leader’s “family friendly” speech yesterday were greeted at the door by a man dressed up as a Chameleon handing out leaflets. According to the Times “..the costume is terrific and…
..and YouGov trend data gives Cameron more to smile about Today’s June ICM poll in the Guardian has with comparisons on a month ago CON 37 (-1): LAB 32 (-2): LD 21 (+1) and underlines that the Tory position is becoming more robust. Because of its methodology ICM tends to be much less volatile than Mori and the 5 point Tory margin is the biggest the party has enjoyed with the pollster’s Guardian since August 1992 – the month before…
Labour recover to 34% but the Lib Dems still stuck on 18% A day and a half after the Observer published outline details of this month’s Mori poll survey the pollster has now published full information on its site. So instead of the bare “Tories are 7% ahead” that the Observer reported we now have the full figures which are with comparisons on the pollster’s last survey at the end of May are:- CON 41% (nc): LAB 34%(+3): LD 18%…
Brown aide says the party could be out of power for 15 years? The main lead in the Guardian this morning is a report of comments made by one of Gordon Brown’s closest advisers, Michael Wills MP, at a fringe union conference meeting at the weekend that the party is on course to lose the next election. The former minster is reported to have said that voters have lost trust in the party, won’t listen to its message, and that…