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Will this rhetoric keep Hillary in the race?

April 1st, 2008

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    Can she make Pennsylvania about whether she can continue?

Unlike many I remain to be convinced that Hillary’s nomination prospects are totally doomed. She has shown when the chips have been down that women, particularly older ones, will flock to back her if she can make the contest an issue of whether she stays in or not.

The current idea that the party is ganging up on her to stop her proceeding could resonate well in the next primary in Pennsylvania where her vote share will be critical. Her portrayal of the calls for her to quit as way of stopping voting in the remaining states looks as though it is gaining traction.

To a Montana TV station she said: “My take on it is a lot of Senator Obama’s supporters want to end this race because they don’t want people to keep voting. That’s just the opposite of what I believe. We want people to vote. I want the people of Montana to vote, don’t you?”

That’s a powerful argument to voters in the remaining states and Obama needs to handle it carefully.

Now I know the numbers don’t look good but the more she can get closer in the popular vote the more she has an argument with the super-delegates who will, at the end of the day, decide the thing.

This won’t be over until it is over.

Obama’s betting price has now tightened to 1/4.

Mike Smithson






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