CONSERVATIVES 45% (+3)
LABOUR 30% (-1)
LIB DEMS 18% (-1)

Which post PBR survey do you believe?

The fieldwork took place before the Green case blew up but after the YouGov survey that we saw on Wednesday.

This will give a big boost to the Tories and on these figures the party would be returned with a near landslide majority.

ICM’s methodology is more favourable to the Lib Dems of any of the pollsters and this is having a big impact on the Labour numbers.

The Guardian article on the poll is here.

Mike Smithson (on holiday doing this on my phone)