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CONFIRMED: Tory lead down to 1%

December 1st, 2008


CONSERVATIVES 37% (-6)
LABOUR 36% (+4)
LIB DEMS 17% (+5)

The above figures, now confirmed, show a massive difference compared with the latest ICM and MORI polls which had leads of 15% and 11% respectively. This represents a completely different picture of what is happening between the pollsters.

ComRes weight by past vote and apply a strict turn-out filter – factors which tend to help the Tory figures. I assume that with this survey the firm is using its standard methodology.

What is also startling about these numbers is the huge increase in the Lib Dem total up from 12% to 17%.

News about the poll was posted earlier by Luke – someone who had never put anything on the site before. Sorry Luke for doubting you.

I cannot think of a reason why this poll should be so different from the others that we have seen in the past few days. But remember this:-

Mike Smithson






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