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Can you predict the tracker poll for Friday October 9th?

September 30th, 2009

Why I’m liking the tracker

I’m getting to rather like the YouGov tracker simply it provides an opportunity to test my theories about what drives the polls.

I’ve always argued here that so much of poll findings outside election campaigns is driven by which party or politician is getting the most attention. For most people are not really that interested in politics.

So far the tracker seems to have been backing this up. The Tories have hardly been heard from for weeks, the Lib Dems are still benefiting from their week at the sea-side and it’s Labour that’s been getting the big profile in the past few days.

Anyway let’s all think towards next week and try to guess what the tracker will be saying on the day after Cameron’s speech.

Mike Smithson

What do you predict the YouGov tracker will record on the day after David Cameron’s speech next week?
A LAB lead
LAB and CON level
CON lead 1 – 4%
CON lead 5 – 9%
CON lead 10 – 14%
CON lead 15 – 19%
CON lead 20% or more