The blues open up a 17 point lead with MORI

The blues open up a 17 point lead with MORI


CON 43 (+7) LAB 26 (-2)(+2) LD 19 (-6)

Is the conference effect working its way out of the system?

The first of three polls that are expected out in the next 12 hours has been published by Ipsos-Mori and shows a sharp change on their last survey taken just after the Lib Dem conference. That last poll had Labour in third place.

The big contrast though is with the recent YouGov and ComRes polls which both showed a narrowing of the gap and had prompted some changes on the spread betting markets.

This evening the Guardian ICM poll, held back from last night, is due and then we’ll see the first ever specially commissioned survey for PB.

Mike Smithson

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