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Could YouGov be the poll that prompts an early election?

January 29th, 2010


CON 38% (40)
LAB 31% (31)
LD 19%(18)

What do we think of the gap going down to just 7%

The third of today’s polls, from YouGov for the Daily Telegraph, has the Tories down below the 40 mark at just 38 points – only seven above Labour.

If that was the margin on the day then we would certainly expect a hung parliament with the Tories as the biggest party.

Of all the polls that we’ve seen in recent months this is the one that will most worry the Tories. It’s from YouGov and will have a dramatic impact on the narrative and should put some real heart into Labour.

Maybe this will just encourage Brown to go early. Maybe – for he might never have a better chance.

Mike Smithson