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Tories and Labour move up one in the daily poll

March 8th, 2010
    YouGov daily poll: The Sun 08/03/10 Prev
    CONSERVATIVES 39% 38
    LABOUR 34% 33
    LIB DEMS 16% 17
    LAB to CON swing 4% 4%

So YouGov continues to show a Labour share that is higher than other pollsters and the 34% means that Labour is hanging onto seventeen out eighteen of those who backed Blair’s party in 2005. That is certainly not supported by the splits linked to past vote reported by other firms.

The Tory share is broadly in line with others pollsters.

We also await a Populus poll of the marginals that was promised for 8pm. The numbers we should be looking out for are the swings on what happened in the surveyed seats in 2005.

Mike Smithson