The polls as they are confirmed

The polls as they are confirmed

YouGov – Sunday Times

YouGov – Sunday Times May 1 Apr 30
CONSERVATIVES 35% 34%
LIB DEMS 28% 28%
LABOUR 27% 28%

ComRes – Sunday Mirror/Indy on Sunday

ComRes S. Mirror/IoS May 1 Apr 28
CONSERVATIVES 38% 36%
LIB DEMS 25% 26%
LABOUR 28% 29%

ICM Sunday Telegraph

ICM – Sunday Telegraph Apr 30 Apr 25
CONSERVATIVES 36% 33%
LIB DEMS 27% 30%
LABOUR 29% 28%

Angus Reid – Sunday Express

Angus Reid – Sunday Express May 1 Apr 26
CONSERVATIVES 35% 33%
LIB DEMS 29% 30%
LABOUR 23% 23%

Another ICM poll, of key LAB-CON marginals in the News of the World, also has positive news for the blues. This is how it’s being reported:-

“Voters were quizzed in 96 Labour seats where a swing of 4 – 10% will turn them Conservative. The News of the World’s ICM marginals poll reveals Cameron is on course to win 311 seats – a massive gain of 113 from the last election. That means Cameron, with the support of the Unionist parties in Northern Ireland, will have a majority of four and will be able to go and see the Queen and ask her permission to form a government.”

I don’t quite get the seat arithmetic or the view of politics in Northern Ireland.

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