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Month: May 2010

How will the coalition partners do in the final seat?

How will the coalition partners do in the final seat?

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BBC election map Could T&M spring an expenses saga surprise? Electors finally go to the polls today in the final seat of the 2010 general election where voting had to be put back from May 6th after one of the candidates died. This is the North Yorkshire seat of Thirsk and Malton where the notional 2010 result was CON 25,702 (51.88%): LAB 11,585 (23.39%): LD 9,314 (18.80%): UKIP 1,522 (3.07%): OTH 1,417 (2.86%). So even if, as is likely, turnout…

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Can Balls get his final ten nominations?

Can Balls get his final ten nominations?

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Is it looking like a three or four cornered contest? Tonight’s tally on nominations in the Labour leadership race has the Milibands continuing to dominate with 95 between them. In third place is Ed Balls who has seen a bit of a boost during the day an is now at 23 – just ten short. Behind him is Andy Burnham on 14 with John McDonnell with just four. So far the only woman in the race, Diane Abbott, has no…

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Will the AV referendum take place as early as next May?

Will the AV referendum take place as early as next May?

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Could the timing issue cause a coalition split? As we recall the concession that finally delivered the Lib Dems as coalition partners with the Tories was the voting reform referendum and the measure was included in yesterday’s Queen’s Speech. It’s this, of course, that the Blues found most difficult to swallow. The question that could cause a rift is when it takes place. According the the Guardian the LDs are pushing for it to be earlier rather than later with…

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Has the nomination race become a sibling battle?

Has the nomination race become a sibling battle?

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Labour.org.uk Is Ed putting the early pressure on his brother? Twice a day the Labour party is revising the nomination totals for each of the six hopefuls who have declared that they are running. What’s been marked is the way the Ed Miliband campaign managed to get its slate of the required 33 in ahead of the others and how they are continuing to add to the list. I wonder whether we are seeing fierce sibling rivalry with the younger…

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Guest Slot: What were the long price winners?

Guest Slot: What were the long price winners?

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Seat Winner Price Belfast East ALL by 1,533 14/1 Hampstead and Kilburn LAB by 42 13/2 Edinburgh South LAB by 316 5/1 Montgomeryshire CON by 1184 5/1 Birmingham Edgbaston LAB by 1274 4/1 Edinburgh South LAB by 316 5/1 Eltham LAB by 1663 7/2 Luton South LAB by 5650 7/2 Chesterfield LAB by 549 10/3 Halifax LAB by 1472 3/1 Derby North LAB by 613 3/1 Westminster North LAB by 2126 3/1 Harrogate & Knaresborough CON by 1039 3/1 Wirral…

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Which of these will survive the first hurdle?

Which of these will survive the first hurdle?

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Nomination tally: May 24 Total Betting Ed Miliband 35 100% David Miliband 19 100% Ed Balls 4 90% Andy Burnham 1 25% John McDonnell 0 15% Diane Abbott 0 25% Betting on who will get the 33 nominations The big political story, today’s Queen’s Speech of the new government, is only peripheral to the main political betting development – the opening up of a new market on which of the Labour hopefuls will actually make it to the ballot. For…

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ICM: Post-GE dramas produce little change in VI

ICM: Post-GE dramas produce little change in VI

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ICM Guardian May 24 May 13 CONSERVATIVES 39% 38% LABOUR 32% 33% LIB DEMS 21% 21%   Lib Dems lose a little but Coalition steady at 60% In the first major post-GE poll with voting intention carried out by ICM for The Guardian, there are small increases in the Conservative and Labour shares, while the Lib Dems and Others are down – though all movements are within marginal of error (if towards the outer edges of it).  The figures are also…

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