Labour level with the Tories in new ICM poll
| Pollster/publication | Date | CON | LAB | LD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICM Guardian | 16/08/10 | 37 | 37 | 18 |
| YouGov/Sun | 16/08/10 | 41 | 37 | 15 |
| ComRes/Independent | 08/08/10 | 39 | 33 | 16 |
| YouGov/Sun Times | 06/08/10 | 42 | 36 | 13 |
| YouGov/Sun | 26/07/10 | 42 | 35 | 15 |
| MORI/Reuters | 25/07/10 | 40 | 38 | 14 |
| ICM/Guardian | 25/07/10 | 38 | 34 | 19 |
| YouGov/Sun | 21/07/10 | 44 | 35 | 13 |
| ComRes/Independent | 27/06/10 | 40 | 31 | 18 |
| YouGov/Sunday Times | 25/06/10 | 43 | 36 | 16 |
| ICM/Sunday Telegraph | 24/06/10 | 41 | 35 | 16 |
| YouGov/Sun | 24/06/10 | 43 | 34 | 17 |
| Populus/Times | 23/06/10 | 39 | 33 | 18 |
| YouGov/Sun | 23/06/10 | 42 | 34 | 17 |
| YouGov/Sun | 22/06/10 | 41 | 37 | 15 |
| YouGov/Sun | 21/06/10 | 41 | 33 | 18 |
| Ipsos-MORI/Reuters | 20/06/10 | 39 | 31 | 19 |
| ICM/Guardian | 20/06/10 | 39 | 31 | 21 |
Will this bring some relief to the Yellows
Given that we see them rarely and that many regard them as the “gold standard” a new ICM poll is something of an event.
Tonight’s survey for the Guardian is showing a different picture from that which the daily surveys, restricted exclusively to members of the YouGov panel, have been showing – and yet again a phone pollster using past vote weighting has a bigger Lib Dem share.
Whatever the LD share of 18% will provide some relief to Nick Clegg while the fact that Labour and the Tories are level-pegging will provide real heart for the reds. On these shares in a general election Labour would have most seats in a hung parliament.