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Is EdM going to be ruthless with more of the old guard?

September 29th, 2010

Smarkets Shadow Chancellor Odds Potential Win
Ed Balls 55.00% £10 wins £18
Yvette Cooper 42.00% £10 wins £23
Any other Labour MP 28.00% £10 wins £35
Andy Burnham 20.00% £10 wins £50
Alan Johnson 9.00% £10 wins £111
Liam Byrne 5.00% £10 wins £200

Smarkets Foreign Secretary Odds Potential Win
Andy Burnham 30.00% £10 wins £33
Any other Labour member 26.67% £10 wins £37
Yvette Cooper 25.00% £10 wins £40
Hilary Benn 22.00% £10 wins £45
Ed Balls 20.00% £10 wins £50
Alan Johnson 10.00% £10 wins £100
Sadiq Khan 10.00% £10 wins £100
Shaun Woodward 5.00% £10 wins £200

Smarkets Home Secretary Odds Potential Win
Andy Burnham 39.00% £10 wins £25
Sadiq Khan 36.00% £10 wins £27
Any other 30.00% £10 wins £33
Ed Balls 28.57% £10 wins £35
Douglas Alexander 24.00% £10 wins £41
Yvette Cooper 18.00% £10 wins £55
Alan Johnson 15.00% £10 wins £66
John Denham 10.00% £10 wins £100
Hilary Benn 5.00% £10 wins £200
Peter Hain 5.00% £10 wins £200
Shaun Woodward 5.00% £10 wins £200

Who’s going to get the top shadow jobs?

What a day and with so much now being resolved we can focus on who is going to get the top jobs in Ed Miliband’s team following the shadow cabinet elections.

What’s voted upon is who should be in the shadow cabinet NOT which portfolio they should hold. That is decided by the leader.

And for me the most striking story of the day has been EdM’s sacking of veteran MP and uber-loyal Brownite, Nick Brown as chief whip.

What this says is that now he’s been elected he’s very much his own man and my sense is that those of his generation, those in their late 30s and early 40s, might do well. I’m betting that Ed Balls won’t be shadow chancellor.

Smarkets have a good range of markets and the betting exchange seems to be attracting more business and, with it, more liquidity.

Mike Smithson