“Stick with first past the post or stick with AV?” (YouGov)	All voters	CON%	LAB %	LD%
Switch to AV	32	24	32	70
Stick with first past the post	43	62	49	14
Wouldn’t vote/don’t know	25	14	19	16

“Blame for the spending cuts?” (YouGov)	All voters	CON%	LAB %	LD%
CON-LD coalition	20	1	52	5
Last Labour government	46	91	7	69
Both	22	5	25	15
Neither	7	2	13	6

Lots of polling has come out this afternoon from YouGov on key issues and I’ve highlighted to two areas I think are the most important above.

The AV referendum finding is the first time that the anti-AV lead has been 10% and that will worry those campaigning for change. The breakdown by party split is as expected.

Those pushing for change might take consolation from the fact that the survey was carried out at the same time as last night’s daily poll which had totals for the Lib Dems which were way out of alignment with all the other pollsters.

YouGov had 11% while all the other recent polls had them at 15 – 16%. We really need to see new data from one of the phone pollsters.

The other finding is our regular from YouGov on who is to blame for the buts. Again this is not good for the Labour though the numbers are not quite as bleak for the party as they were.

There’s also a new YouGov poll of Welsh voters which has with changes on the general election CON 29%(+3): LAB 46%(+10): LD 8%(-12), PC 11%(nc).

Mike Smithson

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