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Blame for the riots: The Red-Blue split

August 10th, 2011

Was it criminal behaviour or the cuts?

We’ve now got the the first comprehensive polling of public reaction to the riots and as can be seen from the YouGov data featured in the chart above there’s a big split between Conservative supporters and Labour ones.

The question was quite simple - “Thinking about the recent riots in London and other cities in Britain, which of the following do you think is the MAIN cause of the riots?”

As can be seen the big picture is that “criminal behaviour” at 42%, was most blamed – but just look at the RED-BLUE contrast. Only 35% of Labour voters chose this while 55% of Tory ones did.

There’s an even sharper contrast on whether “Government cuts” were responsible. Just 1% of the Tories in the sample put down this option against 16% of Labour supporters.

In many way this largely reflects the political debate though Ed Miliband has kept away, in my view quite wisely, from making partisan political points.

I’m hoping to do more from the poll in a second post.

@MikeSmithsonPB




  • Sean Fear

    440 Some ethnic groups (such as Turks and South Asians) are used to having to band together to confront mobs.

    The reaction among Asians in Birmingham is entirely reasonable, and it would be fun to see them lynch a few looters, but there’d always be the risk of their getting the wrong people – so I hope they can be calmed down.

    478 How often does one need to repeat that the poor and the needy don’t have the expensive consumer goods that the looters did.

  • astateofdenmark

    Slackbladder @480

    That’s priceless. Can’t watch it enough…

  • The Watcher

    490 Les, what riots? They’re mass lootings by criminal gangs. Smash, grab, run off to the next crime scene. Don’t hang around.

  • dr spyn
  • xenon

    495 – they are symptomatic of the middle and upper class left who grow up with someone elses chip on their shoulder.

  • Moniker of Monza

    495. Cyclefree. Posh gals and looter groupies.

  • http://www.croydonloony.co.uk JohnLoony

    (OT) I have just received a letter from the BBC Complaints department in response to a programme I did not complain about which was broadcast 2 days after I sent my letter, claiming that I was complaining about the opposite of what I actually complained about.

  • Les

    496@Moniker of Monza

    we can split hairs and be pendantic about how we call it, but as it was outside the normal daily “blag and wreck” I think rioting is a better term.

  • Andy JS

    501 – most toffs are. (No offence intended).

  • http://thaddeusthesixth.blogspot.com/ Morris Dancer

    504, Mr. Loony, that’s impressively inept by the BBC.

    I hope you survived the madness of London unscathed.

  • G

    498. That’s a common misconception. Consumer goods do not make you wealthy.

    http://leftoutside.wordpress.com/2011/08/10/even-rioters-with-blackberrys-can-be-poor/

  • Marquee Mark

    480 I think the new “crying with laughter” is “I could watch that all day…”!!

  • Les

    Whoops, last post should have been for Watcher, sorry Monza

  • dez

    489 watcher, I know you struggle .

    But read it again, I was stating what Seant said ages ago about what he thought might be a problem when they got into government.

  • Slackbladder

    Here we go again…

    @zerohedge
    zerohedge Intesa Sanpaolo Halted Twice On French Downgrade Rumor, Euro Drops http://is.gd/cU2tlK

  • http://twitter.com/PlatoSays Plato

    xenon @502:

    the middle and upper class left who grow up with someone elses chip on their shoulder.

     

    :lol:

  • limesmoothie

    Right, have just heard about this moron Alexis Bailey.

    Will happily pay for taxi for John Smeaton from Glasgow to sort this fool out.

    Yours,

    A Teacher.

  • Marquee Mark

    tim seems to have had the stuffing knocked out of him by the riots.

    I wonder whether his cache of laid-down wine-boxes got looted?

  • fitalass

    FPT. Flockers post@251 has to be the post of the week, by far the most insightful over view of the events that have unfolded over the last few days.

    Just caught up with the Gove vs Harman scrap on Newsnight, apparently the Shadow Cabinet team were huddled up in their Parliamentary abode all day yesterday plotting their moves. There is no doubt that we have seen some extremely impressive performances from local MP’s on the ground in London over recent days. And its clear that this is a time for the casting aside of partisan point scoring, and a time for the political establishment to stand together to bring calm and confidence back.

    As deputy Labour leader, Harriet was obviously sent out to make the points about cuts while Ed Miliband distances from this and tries to appear as a Leader in waiting. And the very anger shown by Gove towards Harman last night not only showed that he was well aware of this tactic, but he also marked Labour’s card before Parliament in recalled on Thursday about trying to blame this three days of rioting and looting on the austerity cuts. And he did so very effectively by pointing out that Labour’s governance and policies in this area would not bear too much scrutiny, and some could say that this week was a direct result of their own failures.

    But Flockers highlights the real underlying points that need to be addressed by all our politicians of all persuasions, and us the public. This is the big conversation that we all need to be having right now, and its not a time for political point scoring. We are where we are both socially and economically right now. And there no easy answers or easy money injections that can suddenly correct this problem, and any politician that tries to tell you that is lying. This is one of the times where it cannot simple be down to our politicians alone to fix the problem. Its also about what we can do to try and help fix our current social problems by taking more responsibility. And that mean starting at home as parents and realising that the State cannot sit at the end of the table and do the job for us.

    Someone pointed out that democracy and law in this country is a contract of mutual trust and respect. It won’t work, and it won’t be fixed until we all accept some responsibility for that. And its that fine line that finally got broken this week, the government and Parliament have a duty to make sure they fulfil their duties in this from a Leadership, law and order perspective in the short term. But this is not a one street, and we need to rise up to the challenge as well. And I hope that anyone who then tries to blame or blackmail those riots on the current austerity cuts that designed to make sure the whole country weather this economic storm get the Gove hair dryer treatment they so deserve.

    Because lets be honest, what we have unfold since Saturday night in London is anything but a short term problem that was brewed over 12 months and can be fixed in 12 days with more money thrown into the mix.

  • Sean Fear

    508 It’s a perfectly valid perception.

  • Seth O. Logue

    G @484:

    Anger I imagine.

     
    Undoubtedly.

    But who with or against what? Far more likely to be with themselves, ot their parents or circumstances than against bankers or the undeserving rich.

    Or is this too ‘middle class’ an interpretation.

    Perhaps all it needs is for a mate to text you that things are kicking off downtown. Perhaps the response is just unthinking and automatic?

  • The Watcher

    505 ‘I think rioting is a better term.’

    Rioting suggests people protesting violently for a political cause, or over a grievance. What we’ve witnessed this week are mass criminal acts of theft, arson and assault. There is a difference.

  • Witan

    Max August 10th, 2011 at 13:33

    You are showing a left wing prejudice there that right wingers do not value other nationalities and immigrants. Its not true.

    We just dislike feckless lawbreaking parasites whether home grown or imported. Law abiding hard workers who look after their own are fine.

  • xenon

    513 – glad you liked!

  • Carola

    514 – I can’t find a link confirming he’s a teacher (or even a TA). Only that he works/works full time in a primary school. If he is a teacher he’ll be sacked. And rightly so.

  • http://twitter.com/PlatoSays Plato

    I find the most instructive evidence for who has been involved in the thuggery and looting to be rogues galleries like this.

    metpoliceuk Metropolitan Police
    More images of people police want to talk to following disorder in London on our Flickr page http://bit.ly/rnax8U

  • The Watcher

    511 dez, I thought you were on the beach with tim. Or has he left you behind to guard the bedsit while he’s ‘away’? All those Scouse looters prowling the streets must be a worry.

  • Sean Fear

    484 That may be their pretext, but no more than that.

  • http://tomknoxbooks.com SeanT

    One thing we are missing in this poll, is the extraordinary stat that thirty-three percent of British people – one third – want the use of live ammunition on the looters.

    ONE THIRD OF PEOPLE WANT RIOTERS SHOT DEAD.

    Incredible. I said the public were way to the right of Cameron on this (let alone Labour), but… wow.

    I hasten to add I don’t personally approve of the wholescale slaughter of rioters. Not yet, anyway.

  • Bob Sykes

    480: that was a let down! I expected a full on Mr Bean after all the hype.

    The PM’s speech, however, was not a let down. Very much what the doctor ordered, and what he should have been saying yesterday.

    He has set a high bar for himself now. He simply MUST deliver on this. I imagine 99% of ordinary people in this country, Left and Right, are behind him. Just the Toynbees and the looter-scum who won’t be.

  • Andy JS

    Looter gets £150 fine:

    “Student David Attoh, 18, from Retreat Place, Hackney, was caught on August 8 in Hackney, with two Burberry t-shirts.

    Attoh, who the court heard has completed an ICT B-Tech at Hackney Community College and was due to have an interview for an apprenticeship on Tuesday, admitted theft by finding.

    The student, who was fined £150, had been receiving Education Maintenance Allowance (EMA) while completing his B-Tech, but over the summer was supported by his mother, the court heard.

    Mr Marks told him: “Don’t get in trouble again.

    “You have a bright future ahead of you, if you get into trouble again you are going to jeopardise that future.”"

    http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/top-stories/2011/08/10/london-riots-teacher-31-pleads-guilty-to-looting-as-court-cases-start-115875-23334652/

  • Seth O. Logue

    Marquee Mark @515:

    I wonder whether his cache of laid-down wine-boxes got looted?

     
    Are you sure the looters would be able to operate the plastic taps?

  • xenon

    519 – Riot is defined as being where 12 or more persons who are present together use or threaten unlawful violence for a common purpose and the conduct of them (taken together) is such as would cause a person of reasonable firmness present at the scene to fear for his personal safety.

    Ergo it doesn’t need a political purpose.

  • limesmoothie

    522

    Yes, I picked up via Twitter that he was ‘a teacher’ but news reports just say ‘school worker’. He may well be sacked, but as I know from a case in my own school, he may not be struck off by the GTC who are the most spineless bunch of wazacks going.

  • G

    517. How can a perception be valid? You either perceive something or you don’t. A perception can be mistaken but invalid?

    518. Probably deep down they are motivated by anger with themselves and their families. But a conspiracy of the rich encompassing the police, bankers and the conservative party would represent a good external focus and a pseudo-justification. Once you’re part of it I imagine it’s adrenaline and a mob mentality.

  • xenon

    From the telegraph..

    Research for Kelkoo, carried out by the Centre for Retail Research, estimates that British retailers have lost £80m in sales due to store closures and customers staying away from city centres. This comes in addition to the £61m bill for cleaning up the damage. The study also says that if even 1 per cent of tourists cancel trips to Britain the tourism industry could lose £520 million over the next year.

  • Nick Palmer

    211 – TSE, I doubt if you’ll get many takers saying yes, they’d go and loot a store if they thought they could get away with it. But the right question is more subtle – are there ANY laws that people have broken recently because they thought they could get away with it? Driving too fast? Taking drugs? Evading tax?

    Each social group has some laws that are not respected. For many young urban teenagers, opportunist nicking stuff from shops is like driving on the motorway at 85 for many drivers – they’ve found they can do it, it helps them in a minor sort of way, they enjoy it, they know it’s illegal, and they do it anyway ‘coz they can and it makes them feel good.

    Rioting – breaking windows, throwing stuff at the police, and so on, is another level – more like driving at 110 or when drunk, not something most people do since it’s potential manslaughter. That’s where most people can reasonably feel genuinely outraged and expect lengthy prison sentences..

  • taffy

    508. G. That article ‘you can still have a blackberry and be poor’ runs so hollow and only shows how utterly, utterly bankrupt left liberal philosophy has become. Nobody with an iota of sense is ever going to accept it or believe it.

  • HD2

    Les @473
    Capitalism = economic Darwinism, and thus as impossible to change as Canute found with the tides.

    It’s why Socialism always fails, and always *will* fail.

  • Seth O. Logue

    SeanT @526:

    I hasten to add I don’t personally approve of the wholescale slaughter of rioters. Not yet, anyway.

     
    What time should we call back?

  • Scott P

    527.

    I imagine 99% of ordinary people in this country, Left and Right, are behind him. Just the Toynbees and the looter-scum who won’t be.

    and tim

  • Carola

    531 – I agree re the GTC. I imagine all good teachers would too. He should be sacked whatever. I thought it was impossible to teach/continue teaching (maybe I’m being naive) with a criminal record? (Will have to look that up).

  • obangobang

    92-5

    Will they last till tea?

  • http://twitter.com/PlatoSays Plato

    From DT – oh all that forensic evidence, do hope they’ve got previous ;)

    13.48 Heidi Blake surveys the damage in Manchester:

    Forensics officers are busily dusting for fingerprints amidst the wreckage of looted shops in Manchester’s St Anne’s Square. In Dawson’s music store, they have found copious prints on a near-priceless grand piano that looters tried and failed to carry off.

    The thugs stole several expensive keyboards, only to use them as battering rams to smash in the window of the nextdoor newsagent which they raided for cigarettes.

    In the Links jewellery store the glass doors have been smashed through and every crystal cabinet has been shattered and emptied of necklaces, platinum cufflinks and diamond rings. One upturned wooden cabinet is spattered with drops of dried blood.

  • SimonStClare

    “Alexis Bailey, a married English teacher has been banned from the profession for a year after she admitted grooming teenage pupils, a watchdog ruled” – http://tinyurl.com/3samj7k

    Can’t be the same one surely?

    Oh, and here’s a video of ‘teaching assistant’ walking into a lamp-post.

    http://yfrog.com/evd8qmz

  • Cyclefree

    528: I despair. He was convicted of theft, for God’s sake – an offence of dishonesty – and the magistrate behaves as if he was a child who’d just spilt some tea on a white carpet.

    How can the young be taught that bad actions have bad consequences if they just get a slap on the wrist like this?

  • Dan Smith

    Rioting suggests the wider community is seriously unhappy and in that case you need to tread carefully for fear of inflaming the situation.

    But in the overwhelming number of trouble spots you are just watching criminals who are hated by their own communities chancing their arms, there need not be a fear that the situation could escalate through overzealous policing, that won’t happen.

  • Andy JS

    India: 100 for 6 as Laxman departs.

  • Witan

    Cyclefree August 10th, 2011 at 14:07

    i do agree. The magistrates and the judiciary have some considerable blame to shoulder in how this came about. Silly sentences and allowing the HRA to be used as a ‘get-out-of-jail-free’ card.

    But if you are rich enough the same soft- touch judges will send others to prison if they reveal your moral bankruptcy.

  • limesmoothie

    539

    Apparently not. There is List 99, which is people barred from working with children/the vulnerable i.e. those with convictions relating to serious violence/drugs/s@x offenders. The CRB check shows up offences and convictions and then the Head/LEA can decide to appoint or not appoint. I once had a job app. from a girl with convictions for credit card fraud and was horrified (had only been in teaching a few years). Head said he had seen MUCH worse on a CRB check. Suffice to say, I did not appoint her.

  • Carola

    542 – she should have been banned by the GTC. But then they’re useless, apart from sending you happy-clappy newsletters telling you how great teaching is. I had a long stand-off with the GTC for being pointless/toothless/gormless/gutless but still expecting me to pay a membership fee. In the end they took it directly from my account.

  • http://none weathercock

    It’s going to be a hot old day in the market caboos today.

    DOW due to start in 10 mins 250 points down.

  • Andy JS

    542: I don’t think they are the same people for the simple reason that one is male and the other is female.

  • ColinW

    534. Pure opportunist & recreational looting in the deprived suburb of Orpington – tempting isn’t it?

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fepOQ5J-pz0&feature=player_embedded

  • runnymede

    528. What a pathetic sentence. No wonder the police can’t be bothered.

  • jsfl

    536. HD2

    Capitalism = economic Darwinism, and thus as impossible to change as Canute found with the tides.

    I think modern medicine and genetic engineering have successfully undermined Darwinism as it goes. Its not only the strong that survive, its the weak that are protected by the strong that also survive these days.

    Do you still think that capitalism is ‘economic Darwinism’?

  • Scottish Tory

    I may have misunderstood this (not currently in the country), but the riots appear to be confined to England, with thankfully none in Wales or Scotland. I understand that Scottish policemen are being sent to the Midlands and NE to assist local constabularies.

    At the risk of throwing the cat among the pigeons, why is this the case and what does it say about the state of England?

    Please don’t misinterpret this, I am genuinely curious as to people’s views.

  • paul barker

    On whether the Rioters will get away with it. My estimate of the number actively involved, not standing about gawping, probably no more than 3,000. More than 1,000 arrests already. Even those pleading guilty are being reffered up to “proper” courts, not being allowed to go before Magistrates.
    We can expect those convicted to get clobbered with harsher than usual sentences.
    The process of catching those responsible has only just started, lots of evidence is being collected.