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Betfair punters make Boris an 82.6 percent shot

April 29th, 2012

Don’t ignore YouGov’s great record in Mayoral elections

With the last two Mayoral polls showing first preference leads of 9% and 11.2% for Boris it’s hardly surprising that on this final weekend the money has been going on the incumbent.

I’m being a tad more cautious. YouGov’s final polls in both 2004 and 2008 got it correct to within 1% and there should be a new survey out tomorrow.

Remember that four years ago the other pollsters had it as a dead heat or Ken ahead.

Although I’m often critical of YouGov you cannot fault its record with this election and its last poll had the gap at just 2%.

@MikeSmithsonOGH