At this stage, 22 months before GE2010, this is how the Sunday Times YouGov poll had it
But will things be different with a coalition?
The date, July 7th, means that we are exactly 22 months away from May 7th 2015 – the day laid down in the Fixed Parliament Act for the next general election.
We’ve all heard of the swingback theory that governments recover as we get closer to elections. Indeed just click on the 2010 result tab on the graphic to see how much LAB eventually made up.
What we don’t know is how this works with coalitions. Would the Tories be the main beneficiary or will it be split with their coalition partners? If the economy does recover which side will get most credit?
Mike Smithson
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