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Month: August 2013

Betting on when will a Conservative lead with YouGov occur

Betting on when will a Conservative lead with YouGov occur

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Paddy Power have opened a market on when we’ll see a Conservative lead with YouGov. Paddy Power's odds on when The Tories will take the lead with a YouGov VI poll pic.twitter.com/IczxkcApyT — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) August 29, 2013 Overnight the latest yougov poll was published, it shows the Labour lead at 3% YouGov/Sun poll tonight: Syria dramatics aside, the Labour lead is down to 3 points again. CON 34%, LAB 37%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 12%. — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn)…

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Nighthawks is now open

Nighthawks is now open

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Home of the web’s best political conversation If you’re experiencing Insomnia, why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, why not delurk tonight, it certainly is an interesting time in UK politics, with Syria’s use of weapons of, Mass Destruction, The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) Labour Kills Commons Vote On Military Action In Syria As…

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Syria

Syria

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The above is the findings from the YouGov poll for the Sunday Times. YouGov noted on Sunday that The most recent survey supports findings in a YouGov survey from April, which suggested the use of chemical weapons in Syria would make little if any difference at all to the British public’s disinclination towards greater involvement.  Overnight there was further YouGov polling released on the reported plans for Syria and it makes for grim reading for David Cameron. Voters are against missile strikes…

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Ipsos-MORI party like-dislike ratings for UKIP raise doubts about the party’s future progress

Ipsos-MORI party like-dislike ratings for UKIP raise doubts about the party’s future progress

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How come that Farage’s party is now so disliked? One of the big problems with polling is that what tends to get reported is what fits the media narrative and other numbers can get ignored. Thus the big news from latest Ipsos-MORI “like/dislike” party and leader ratings was the big fall in Ed Miliband’s personal position which, of course, has been the big political story this summer. This has overshadowed other numbers from the firm about UKIP that might be…

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Meet Ed Kinnock

Meet Ed Kinnock

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Meet Ed Kinnock/Neil Miliband. Why have the Tories mocked this up? Find out in tomorrow's Sun #SunPlus. pic.twitter.com/SSJkrPljKD — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) August 26, 2013 According to the press, today we’re going to see the start of a new phase of the Tory campaign targeting Ed Miliband as weak by comparing him unfavourably with Neil Kinnock. Today, Michael Gove will say “The contrast with Neil Kinnock – who originally faced down the Militant Tendency over entryism is striking –…

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PB Poll on when we’ll see Tory leads in the polls

PB Poll on when we’ll see Tory leads in the polls

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Following the publication of the ICM Wisdom poll, ICM’s Martin Boon said about Ed’s poor personal polling, “He is becoming Labour’s IDS and if it carries on like this it’s hard not to think that we’ll be seeing Conservative polling leads very soon.” Take part in PB’s poll and tell us what you think. When will we start seeing Tory polling leads Before 31/12/13 Between 01/01/2014 and 30/06/2014 Between 01/07/2014 and 31/12/2014 Between 01/01/2015 and 07/05/2015 We won’t see Tory…

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Cameron and Clegg The New Blair and Brown?

Cameron and Clegg The New Blair and Brown?

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Yesterday John Rentoul wrote a fascinating piece on the Dave and Nick relationship.   I am told that [David Cameron] has recently had a lot of “quite angry” meetings with Nick Clegg. Where once civil servants liked to compare the polite and mutually respectful dealings of the coalition leaders with the storms of Tony Blair and Gordon Brown’s dysfunctional “coalition”, insiders now say that there are similarities after all. I understand that one of Cameron and Clegg’s disputes was over…

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