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Month: August 2013

Angus Reid poll on Scotland

Angus Reid poll on Scotland

There’s a new poll out by Angus Reid for the Sunday Express on the Scottish Independence referendum, which sees an improvement for the Yes side   Note, the changes are from Angus Reid’s last poll on this topic, which was for The Mail on Sunday, the Sunday Express articles references the last poll conducted for the Sunday Express. The Mail on Sunday Poll details can be found here Other excerpts from the poll 28 per cent of people say they…

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Sunday Polling Roundup

Sunday Polling Roundup

There are three polls out. First up is the YouGov poll for the Sunday Times Tonight’s YouGov for the Sunday Times Lab 38 Con 32 UKIP 13 LD 10 — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) August 24, 2013   YouGov/Sunday Times Miliband’s net rating is minus 48, his worst net rating this year (last week it minus 42) — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) August 24, 2013   YouGov Sunday Times net ratings among their own supporters Cameron plus 87 Clegg plus 36 Miliband plus 7…

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Independence Referendum turnout betting

Independence Referendum turnout betting

With a little over 389 days to go until Scottish voters decide whether to leave the Union or not. The table below shows the turnout in Scotland for a variety of elections and plebiscites, going back to 1974. Year Westminster election Referendum Holyrood election 1974 F 79.0 1974 O 74.8 1979 March 63.8 1979 May 76.8 1983 72.7 1987 75.1 1992 75.5 1997 May 71.3 1997 Sep 60.4 1999 59.1 2001 58.2 2003 49.4 2005 60.6 2007 52.1 2010 63.8…

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Is Harriet Harman Labour’s Michael Howard option?

Is Harriet Harman Labour’s Michael Howard option?

  Would stability be the prime concern if Miliband went? Ed Miliband has now been leader of the Labour Party for longer than Gordon Brown was.  For the majority of that time, Labour has been comfortably ahead in the opinion polls and has made steady progress in local council seats and Westminster by-elections.  Even so, doubts continue to be expressed about his leadership.  Labour has not shown much ability to set a policy or media narrative since he became leader and…

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Betting on how many deposits the Lib Dems will lose in 2015

Betting on how many deposits the Lib Dems will lose in 2015

New PB thread looking at betting on Lib Dem deposit losses at the 2015 GE. http://t.co/FR0XvQI0M3 pic.twitter.com/EEpQPAakBj — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) August 23, 2013   A couple of weeks ago, Mike wrote about the potential number of Lib Dem lost deposits in 2015 and how the total of lost LD deposits which, if local trends continue, could run into the hundreds. Now in 2010, the Liberal Democrats didn’t lose any deposits, whilst the the Conservatives lost just two deposits and Labour lost five…

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Henry G Manson – On the Lobbying Bill

Henry G Manson – On the Lobbying Bill

Henry G Manson on the lobbying bill. http://t.co/YGwgHKTdn3 Pic from http://t.co/Lghyxzdnvo pic.twitter.com/9OsvhyqtTG — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) August 23, 2013     This Big Brother Bill Belongs to Zimbabwe Not Britain Hasty legislation usually makes for the lousy legislation. But for lousy and cynical legislation, look no further than the government’s ‘Transparency of Lobbying, Non-party Campaigning and Trade Union Administration Bill’. It appears to be the latest sinister stunt from a Conservative Party looking to boost its chances in the run-up to the…

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Local By-Election Preview: August 22nd 2013

Local By-Election Preview: August 22nd 2013

  Askern Spa on Doncaster (Lab Defence) Last Local Election (2012): Lab 50, Con 9, Lib Dem 3, Ind 1 (Labour overall majority of 37) Ward results in last electoral cycle 2010: Con 1,502 (27%), Lab 2,756 (49%), Eng Dems 1,415 (25%) 2011: Con 831 (21%), Lab 2,205 (55%), Ind 416 (10%), Eng Dems 574 (14%) 2012: Con 954 (30%), Lab 2,269 (70%) At the start of modern electoral history, Doncaster was a fascinating place. A true Con / Lab…

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Ipsos Mori Issues Index out

Ipsos Mori Issues Index out

The Augusut Ipsos-Mori issues index is out Public concern about the economy falls again – lowest in five years http://t.co/gnWVv2CrdI — Ben Page, Ipsos MORI (@benatipsosmori) August 22, 2013 Concern about race/immigration has now increased to 38%; its highest level since May 2010 http://t.co/nIWAVtpsOf @EconBritain: — Ben Page, Ipsos MORI (@benatipsosmori) August 22, 2013 Concern about the NHS now the highest it has been in 5 years http://t.co/ZnzXN0eyeG — Ben Page, Ipsos MORI (@benatipsosmori) August 22, 2013 Just 7% of…

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