h1

Key seats betting round-up and news of another constituency poll where UKIP doing well

November 29th, 2014

Nick Clegg’s Sheffield Hallam

Farage’s Thanet South

Rochester: Can Mark Reckless repeat by-election success?

UKIP in Camborne might be worth a punt. See this from Corporeal

Acting for Exeter University’s Falmouth campus (and their documentary on the 2015 election in Cornwall []) Survation have polled the Camborne and Redruth Constituency

A couple of caveats, sample was 500 and the question wording is slightly different from Survation’s normal format, but with those safely out of the way the numbers made very interesting reading.

The topline results were actually rather spectacular, showing Farming Minister George Eustice losing his seat to UKIP’s surge: UKIP 33% Con 30% Lab 22% Gre 7% LD 6%. Naming candidates in the voting intention question shifted this to a still striking but slightly less dramatic: UKIP 28% Con 34% Lab 18% Gre 6% LD 13%

Finally from William Hill