(puffing) My word, (panting) and Hercules thought he had a tough time with his twelve labours. He ought to try local by-elections on for size. Finding the wards that had by-elections this week was a doddle, but my goodness, finding the results last time and the candidates standing for election, wooh!. It can really take it out on a person let me tell you. And yes, your eyes are not deceiving you that is thirteen local by-elections look like with…
Main opposition party leader seat polling from @Lord Ashcroft pic.twitter.com/NtRm0hCnih — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 27, 2014 But elsewhere latest Ashcroft polls good for LDs LDs 9% lead over CON in latest batch @LordAshcroft LD held seat polls CON 27 LAB 13 LD 36 UKIP 17 GRN 5 pic.twitter.com/ZsXj9yTfFU — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 27, 2014 Interesting in @LordAshcroft polls Lib Dems holding 9/11 seats where Tories 2nd. Suggests their spin on digging in not just puff — Beth Rigby (@BethRigby) November 27, 2014 Seat-by-seat…
From last night the latest ComRes/ITV news poll of 40 CON-LAB marginals Con  31% (+1)   Lab 39% (-2) LD 7% (+1) UKIP 18% (+1) — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 27, 2014 It’s important to tease out incumbency & tactical elements I was tied up last night when the ComRes/ITV online marginals poll was published as well as the latest YouGov which has the Tories back with a 1% lead. The ComRes poll with a sample of a thousand questioned online is in 40 seats where at…
Released tomorrow polling in Doncaster North showing UKIP 2nd so if Tories tactically vote for UKIP Miliband loses #votetorygetlabour! — Lord Ashcroft (@LordAshcroft) November 26, 2014
Don't quite know what to make of this YouGov polling. How would Jesus view immigration & gay marriage? pic.twitter.com/OqnrugmJ9k — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 26, 2014 By 38%-6% the YouGov sample say Jesus would support the renationalisation of the railways. 49% said he'd oppose death penalty, 17% support — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 26, 2014 The polling’s certainly unique though I’m unsure about what it tells us
No surprise there then but a big challenge for the coalition The chart is based on aggregate data for Populus polls last month and is broadly in line with what we seen from other pollsters. Those currently saying they’ll vote UKIP have the most negative views about the recovery. Given that both coalition partners will be trying to claim credit for what’s happened this message is going to be hard to get across to the biggest group of swing voters….
Home of the web’s best political conversation If you’re Footloose, and fancy free tonight, why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, why not delurk tonight, don’t worry, delurking isn’t the Highway to The Danger Zone. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) The spiral of silence in polling Has Theresa May just declared war on Downing…
N.Simms with the winning entry “UKIP by 7.26%” This was 0.02% short of the actual margin of 7.28% and the winner got closest. Congratulations. The winner will receive a copy of the new book edited by Philip Cowley and Rob Ford “Sex Lies & The Ballot Box” which was launched earlier this month and has attracted a fair bit of publicity. Congratulations. Thanks to Mark Hopkins of www.nojam.com for creating the structure for this competition. It has worked well and…