England ONLY data from latest ComRes poll shows that the Tories have massive struggle south of the border

England ONLY data from latest ComRes poll shows that the Tories have massive struggle south of the border

At GE2010 CON led in England by 11.2%. Now just 1%

Given that Scotland is operating totally differently at the moment I have been trying to identify the England only poll shares from the main surveys.

The chart above is from yesterday’s IoS/S Mirror poll by ComRes and has the Tories just 1% ahead in England. That is ten points short of what the blues got at the last election.

What’s happening in Scotland is disguising the huge challenge in England where the swing required is now in excess of 5%.

Of course it looks as though LAB will lose seats in Scotland but last time the Tories made net gains of 92 in England alone which was the bedrock of Cameron being able to lead a coalition. These 92 seats form the main target list for Labour.

Mike Smithson

2004-2014: The view from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble


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