The SNP’s been issuing lots of data from its latest Panelbase poll but no GE15 voting intentions. Why?

December 30th, 2014

Could it be that the lead over LAB is fading?

Above is a table with all the Scottish GE15 voting intention polls that have been published since June and I was hoping this morning that a final survey could be added to the list.

Over the last three nights the SNP has been emailing me detailed findings from its latest Panelbase poll on things like Devomax – which have all reinforced its position. The latest email was headed “POLL – LAST FINDING, DEVO MAX” doesn’t include any voting figures which seems very odd.

    It is hard to believe that a poll that was commissioned by the party did not seek to find out how Scottish voters were currently thinking about the May 7th general election just four and a bit months away.

Doing well in that election has become a key objective following the party’s double digit defeat in the IndyRef. Yet there is no information about GE15.

If the numbers had shown that the party was maintaining its lead then I’ve little doubt that this would have been published.

The Panelbase survey is a private poll and the SNP is free to issue whatever it likes.

Draw your own conclusions.


Mike Smithson

2004-2014: The view from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble