The decline of UKIP from another pollster – ComRes phone poll for Mail CON 34 (+3) LAB 32 (+2) LIB 8 (=) UKIP 13 (-4) GRN 6 (-1)

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 23, 2015

ENGLAND ONLY shares from ComRes/Mail poll CON 36 LAB 32 LD 7 UKIP 14 GRN 9 A CON to LAB swing of 3.4% since GE10

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 23, 2015

So the second phone poll of the day is out and, like Lord Ashcroft this afternoon, shows UKIP on the decline. But unlike Ashcroft ComRes has the Tories up more than LAB and last month’s lead moves to 2%.

On quite a few Mondays now we seem to have two phone polls. One from Ashcroft and one from either ICM or ComRes. A pattern seems to have developed that the two move in opposite directions.

Whatever the battle looks exceedingly tight with the two main parties increasing.

Conflicting response in the ComRes/Mail poll pic.twitter.com/qS3yLNrGXv

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 23, 2015

YouGov has them level-pegging - CON 33%, LAB 33%, LD 8%, UKIP 13%, GRN 7%

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 23, 2015

Mike Smithson

For 11 years viewing politics from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble

For latest polling and political betting news follow @MSmithsonPB