Predicting the election: What the leading academic teams are saying

March 27th, 2015


Five years ago PBers described the 2010 event as wank fest

We got a name check from YouGov polling head Jo Twyman, at the opening of today’s conference at the LSE when different academic groups made their predictions.

He recalled that on the thread in 2010 this gathering was described as a wankfest which got a good response.

What’s happening is that separate forecasting groups are presenting their findings and explaining how their approaches.

The table above shows the main predictions which are very different.

Am I any the wiser? I don’t think do.

Mike Smithson

For 11 years viewing politics from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble