Jeb Bush, 6/4 favourite for the GOP nomination, slips to 7% in the first post debate poll
Carly Fiorina & Ted Cruz big movers in post debate GOP nominee poll by Survey Monkey for NBC
Trump still dominates. pic.twitter.com/0kTuFSejLf— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 11, 2015
Trump up 1 while Fiorina and Cruz the big gainers
Away from the Labour leadership the most intriguing political betting market currently is on who will be the Republican party nominee for the November 2016 Presidential Election.
Last Thursday we had the first live TV debates and today we’ve got the first nomination voting polling since the event. In spite, or maybe because, of all the controversy Donald Trump edges up a point while the only woman, Carly Fiorina, jumps 6% and Ted Cruz 7%.
The interesting numbers are those for Jeb Bush who is down 3 to just 7%. This doesn’t look good an he needs to perform substantially better at the next event in September to keep his donor base happy.
My view is that Bush at currents level is over-priced at the moment and have been laying (betting against) him on Betfair.
Rasmussen Reports national telephone poll has Trump on 17% down from 26% before 1st GOP debate
Rubio 10%
Bush 10%
Fiorina 9%
Walker 9%— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 11, 2015