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Hillary looks set to struggle in New Hampshire but Sanders unlikely to be much of a threat elsewhere

September 26th, 2015

Where does the Democratic race stand now?

Hillary Clinton continues to dominate the betting for the Democratic nomination for next year’s White House Race. She has slipped a bit but she is still a very tight odds on favourite.

Her main opponent who has declared himself is the 74 year old Bernie Sanders an independent senator from the neighbouring state of Vermont.

Apart from the fact that he would be nearly 80 at the end of his term if he competed for the presidency and won historical experience suggests that politicians from neighbouring states to New Hampshire tend to do very well in primaries there. Their performances elsewhere has been mixed.

Hillary appears to have a strong position so far in the polls in Iowa, which with its caucuses is the first State to make a decision. Iowa is not a full primary where elections are held under the supervision of the state. In caucus states interested party supporters attend meetings on the designated day where they vote. These are all overseen and administered by the state party organisation.

    The big question with the Democratic nomination remains: will vice president Joe Biden throw his hat into the ring? The speculation over his intentions have gone on for a very long time and the longer he waits the harder it will be for him to mount a successful primary campaign nationally.

It will also be very costly and most of the major donors to the Democratic party have already been signed up by the Clinton Clan.

All this doesn’t mean that Hillary is home and dry. The fact that Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden are polling so well in some States suggests that there is a fair degree of unease about her candidacy.

Mike Smithson