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Month: July 2016

Harry Hayfield’s local elections report: What’s happened so far this week & tonight’s preview

Harry Hayfield’s local elections report: What’s happened so far this week & tonight’s preview

Two good performances already for the Lib Dems RESULT July 26 The Hangers and Forest (Con defence) on East Hampshire Result of council at last election (2015): Conservatives 42, Liberal Democrats 2 (Conservative majority of 40) Result of ward at last election (2015): Conservative 983 (69%), Independent 257 (18%), Labour 184 (13%) Referendum Result: REMAIN 37,346 (51%) LEAVE 36,576 (49%) on a turnout of 82% Candidates duly nominated: Keith Budden (Con), Don Jerrard (Justice and Anti Corruption), Roger Mullenger (Lib…

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Corbyn remains on the ballot and doesn’t require nominations as Labour donor loses court case

Corbyn remains on the ballot and doesn’t require nominations as Labour donor loses court case

Mr Justice Foskett dismisses challenge by Michael Foster. Says NEC "correct in law' to allow Corbyn on ballot automatically. — Peter Walker (@peterwalker99) July 28, 2016 We have full ruling. Judge says decision was "a narrow point of law" and "wholly unaffected by political considerations". — Peter Walker (@peterwalker99) July 28, 2016 Foskett's ruling says "natural impression" of party rules on members was without leadership vacancy, no need for MPs to nominate incumbent — Peter Walker (@peterwalker99) July 28, 2016…

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US election round-up following Obama’s convention speech and Trump’s call to Russia

US election round-up following Obama’s convention speech and Trump’s call to Russia

Front page of today's New York Daily News pic.twitter.com/WkV37TpBPj — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 28, 2016 Pew Research projection of make up of the US electorate showing how its becoming much more diverse pic.twitter.com/UlTYAuFbbX — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 28, 2016 Very powerful speech by Obama at Democratic Convention. One of his best ever https://t.co/wMjLml0Scf — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 28, 2016

The summer of political turmoil continues: A look back and look forward in latest PB/Polling Matters Podcast

The summer of political turmoil continues: A look back and look forward in latest PB/Polling Matters Podcast

On the agenda for Keiran Pedley this week:- Should May call an early general election? Corbyn’s battle to hang onto his job Have the Tories become the long-term opposition the to the SNP in Scotland? Can Trump beat Clinton Keiran is joined by two specialist political pollsters: Katy Owen, formerly a Senior Project Manager at Survation and now Programme Manager at Common Vision and Adam Drummond, Head of Political Polling at Opinium. You can follow Adam on twitter at @AGKD123…

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Trump becomes the first main party nominee in more than 40 years to refuse to release his tax returns

Trump becomes the first main party nominee in more than 40 years to refuse to release his tax returns

A big mistake by Trump? He becomes 1st main party nominee since Watergate refusing to release tax returns https://t.co/HdxRhfa62y via @msnbc — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 27, 2016 Even Richard Nixon released his Releasing tax returns has become very much part of politics in recent times and has been a well established practice in the US since Watergate. Generally they are issued at a time of the candidate’s choosing and become an issue for a day or so before the…

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Labour’s massive challenge: Support for Corbyn as “best PM” is inversely proportional to people’s likelihood to vote

Labour’s massive challenge: Support for Corbyn as “best PM” is inversely proportional to people’s likelihood to vote

There’s a new YouGov voting poll out which has the Tories extending their lead to 12%. The figures are: CON 40% LAB 28% LD 8% UKIP 13% This means that the Tories have double digit leads in four of the five polls since Theresa May became PM. Clearly she is enjoying a honeymoon bounce but, on top of that, she is facing a Labour party that appears to be at war with itself. One part of the poll that show…

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The moment when a major US party nominated a woman for President for the first time

The moment when a major US party nominated a woman for President for the first time

And Bernie Sanders played his part Congratulations to Betfair and the other bookies who have been quick to settle long-standing US WH2016 bets as events have unfolded at the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia. It’s now official – Clinton versus Trump. Given the continuing disquiet amongst some of his followers in the hall the 74 year old socialist from Vermont, Bernie Sanders, played his part in the evening’s choreography. Vermont passed when it was invited to record its votes. Then…

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Today’s 2nd terrible poll for Corbyn: YouGov ratings from its latest Scotland survey

Today’s 2nd terrible poll for Corbyn: YouGov ratings from its latest Scotland survey

Just 19% of Scots LAB GE2015 voters say Corbyn doing well, 66% badly Remember in those by-gone days in September 2015 when Mr. Corbyn pulled off his sensational leadership victory? Remember what he said would be his biggest initial priority? That was going to be Scotland where five months earlier Labour had slumped from 40 seats in the general election to just one – the same as the LD and CON. This was absolutely awful for the party and raised…

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