Surely on these figures the Tories should comfortably hold Witney tomorrow with an increased share of the vote?

New @IpsosMORI VI poll
Con 47% (+7) Lab 29% (-5) LD7% (+1) UKIP 6% (-3) The Tory lead in emojis. 1 emoji = 1% Con lead. ??????????????????

— TSE (@TSEofPB) October 19, 2016

On the approval ratings that are often better predictors of general elections than voting intention figures

Oppo ldr approval, 13 mths (MORI):
Foot -48
Kinnock -15
Smith -4
Blair +16
Hague -25
IDS -26
Howard -21
Cameron -9
Ed M -15

Corbyn -24

— Rob Ford (@robfordmancs) October 19, 2016

https://twitter.com/robfordmancs/status/788751460389576704

Three months in Theresa May is doing worse than Gordon Brown but better than Margaret Thatcher

PM approval, 3 mths in

Thatcher +2
Major +44(!)
Blair +59(!!)
Brown +18
Cameron + 24

May +16

— Rob Ford (@robfordmancs) October 19, 2016

But if general elections, unlike referendums, are won ‘on it’s the economy, stupid’ these are troubling numbers for Mrs May

Proportion thinking that #brexit will make their own standard 'a lot worse' has doubled since July. Marmite cut-through? pic.twitter.com/FjMbIj8Xuf

— Harry Aagaard Evans (@HarryAEvans) October 19, 2016

TSE