Browsed by
Month: May 2017

On the day of the C4/Sky News May/Corbyn event the Mail’s Quentin Letts tells TMay she’s a “glum bucket”

On the day of the C4/Sky News May/Corbyn event the Mail’s Quentin Letts tells TMay she’s a “glum bucket”

Comments 0 Comment

The expression on TMay's face after Quentin Letts of the Daily Mail calls her a #glumbucket pic.twitter.com/2UTqLJt9C0 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 29, 2017 Tonight at 8.30pm we have the first big set-piece with TMay and Corbyn appearing before a live studio audience on Channel 4 and Sky News. They won’t debate directly with each other – TMay ruled that out from the beginning. But she’ll face questioning from the audience and from Jeremy Paxman. Neither leader is particularly good…

Read More Read More

TMay’s much repeated assertion that Corbyn becomes PM if CON loses 6 seats doesn’t stand up to scrutiny

TMay’s much repeated assertion that Corbyn becomes PM if CON loses 6 seats doesn’t stand up to scrutiny

Comments 0 Comment

IF she lost 6 seats, AND Sinn Fein took its seats AND DUP, UUP & Sylvia Hermon backed Corbyn, he STILL cdn't become PM because @JWoodcockMP — John Rentoul (@JohnRentoul) May 29, 2017 Starting 99 seats ahead gives the PM a big cushion One of the practices that is followed at general election times is for comparisons to be made with what happened at the election before not taking into account defections or by-elections. So for the purposes of comparison…

Read More Read More

It’s the economy, stupid. And Team Corbyn aren’t stupid.

It’s the economy, stupid. And Team Corbyn aren’t stupid.

Comments 0 Comment

Don Brind on final phase of the LAB campaign It may all end in tears but for now the diverse team of Corbyn fans and old media sweats who make the Leader of the Opposition comms team can pride themselves on helping the party and their leader to narrow the yawning gap in the polls since Theresa May called the snap election the best part of a month ago. Because they are smart I expect them to make a decisive switch to highlight…

Read More Read More

Memo to the Labour party, stop sending Diane Abbott to do interviews for the rest of the campaign

Memo to the Labour party, stop sending Diane Abbott to do interviews for the rest of the campaign

Comments 0 Comment

I’ve only just caught up with the quite literally hair raising interview with Diane Abbott had on this morning’s The Andrew Marr show. If you can’t watch the video above here’s an excerpt from The Spectator. When Marr moved onto Abbott’s questionable views on the IRA, she came up with an even more novel answer. Comparing her words of support for the IRA to her decision to have an afro, Abbott said her views — like her hair — have…

Read More Read More

Analysing Labour’s rise in the polls

Analysing Labour’s rise in the polls

Comments 0 Comment

Popular policies might be the explanation for Labour’s increase in the polls since the start of the campaign At the start of this general election campaign, I thought there was a chance that my 10/1 bets on Labour polling sub 20% might be in play but during this general election campaign if the polls are accurate, Labour’s share of the vote has risen, and Labour might end up polling close to 40%. Now there’s much discussion about what is driving up…

Read More Read More

The size of her majority will determine the sort of PM Theresa May can be and what sort of Brexit and other radicalism we might see, or not see from her

The size of her majority will determine the sort of PM Theresa May can be and what sort of Brexit and other radicalism we might see, or not see from her

Comments 0 Comment

Shortly there will be an election, in which the Tories will win a majority Despite all the light and heat generated with recent polling, I still expect the Tories to win a majority, unless Nick Timothy decides to add another Nimitz class sized barnacle to the Tory boat between now and June 8th The Tories still lead in the polls, the leadership and economic polling also favour the blue team, but the size of the majority will determine how her…

Read More Read More

Tonight’s YouGov and ORB polls have the Tory lead in the single digits – update ICM has the Tory lead at

Tonight’s YouGov and ORB polls have the Tory lead in the single digits – update ICM has the Tory lead at

Comments 0 Comment

Tonight's @YouGov @thesundaytimes poll Con 43 (nc) Lab 36 (-2) LD 9 (-1) UKIP 4 (nc) Via @ShippersUnbound pic.twitter.com/NkUZm20Z2d — TSE (@TSEofPB) May 27, 2017 Looks like women are behind the Corbyn surge in @ORB_Int poll. Fieldwork Wed and Thurs https://t.co/nnoHIskTIM pic.twitter.com/MP2w59QJAK — TSE (@TSEofPB) May 27, 2017 Well if these polls turn out be accurate then Mrs May’s gamble to hold an early election will turn out be a mistake. What will keep Mrs May and CCHQ happy is…

Read More Read More

The first two polls of tonight show the Tory lead halving in a month

The first two polls of tonight show the Tory lead halving in a month

Comments 0 Comment

The @OpiniumResearch poll Con 45 (-1) Lab 35 (+2) LD 7 (-1) UKIP 5 (nc) Look at the leader ratings. FW Tues/Wed https://t.co/OKZIp0G1Q6 pic.twitter.com/JnPsr7bx5J — TSE (@TSEofPB) May 27, 2017 Con 12-pt lead @ComRes for @Independent & @TheSundayMirrorCon 46% -2Lab 34% +4LD 8% -2UKIP 5% 0Green 2% -1(Changes since 2 weeks ago) — John Rentoul (@JohnRentoul) May 27, 2017 Corbyn leads by 23 points on best to protect old people who need social care @ComRes for @Independent https://t.co/XuXHxV9ZUf — John…

Read More Read More