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Month: April 2018

How the Tories are using the the appointment of the new Home Secretary

How the Tories are using the the appointment of the new Home Secretary

The big news of the day has been the appointment by Theresa May of Sajid Javid as the new Home Secretary – the first time a member of the BAME communities has been appointed to one of the main officers of state. Given the background for the demise of his predecessor this appears a smart move which the Tories are hoping will help the win greater support from the non white communities a segment of the electorate where they’ve really…

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Corbyn’s Ipsos MORI satisfaction ratings drop to lowest point since GE2017

Corbyn’s Ipsos MORI satisfaction ratings drop to lowest point since GE2017

Just three out of five LAB voters give him positive rating Meanwhile there’s some voting intention cheer for the LDs LDs up 4% to 10% with @IpsosMORI – their highest share in any poll since GE2017 pic.twitter.com/YysjQCFjhn — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 30, 2018 The big story from the April Ipsos MORI poll in the Standard is a further deterioration in Mr corbyn’s satisfaction ratings. These, from the pollster, have been asking the same format for well over 40 years…

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Why TMay should choose as HomeSec Nicky Morgan – the woman who criticised her £1000 leather trousers

Why TMay should choose as HomeSec Nicky Morgan – the woman who criticised her £1000 leather trousers

This could make the passage of the Brexit Bill easier Two years ago Nicky Morgan got dropped from the cabinet and since then has been one of the most vocal and effective critics of the government’s Brexit policy. It has been said that there’s a huge gulf between them following an argument between her and the Prime Minister over the former’s criticism of Theresa May’s £1000 leather trousers. Since then Morgan has become one of the key senior players in…

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Amber Rudd resigns

Amber Rudd resigns

Amber Rudd has resigned — Robert Peston (@Peston) April 29, 2018 Amber Rudd resignation is right. The first memo was bad enough; the second memo made her position untenable. Yes, all these caveats below apply, but she still had to go. https://t.co/rRrh11mFgK — Jane Merrick (@janemerrick23) April 29, 2018 Rudd's return to the backbenches likely means an extra MP for a Customs Union in forthcoming vote. — George Eaton (@georgeeaton) April 29, 2018

It is clear someone is leaking to damage Amber Rudd and I think she’s toast

It is clear someone is leaking to damage Amber Rudd and I think she’s toast

BREAKING: Amber Rudd letter to PM reveals 'ambitious but deliverable' removals target https://t.co/pCV3WHqHsd — The Guardian (@guardian) April 29, 2018 Mrs May’s firewall looks like toast after this Guardian revelation In the past few days it is obvious that someone is leaking relentlessly against Amber Rudd to force her out. It might be the fact that I tipped Amber Rudd as next out of the cabinet at 33/1 is colouring my view but I’m not sure she’s going to recover…

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If you fancy a 2% return in a little over 8 months this is the bet for you

If you fancy a 2% return in a little over 8 months this is the bet for you

William Hill have a market on whether there will be a second EU in/out referendum before the 1st of January 2019, I’m backing the No side. Logistically I just cannot see a referendum happening this year. It would require legislation to be passed by both parts of Parliament, given the number of Leavers in both places, and Mrs May’s lack of majority in both Houses such a bill is likely to get bogged down in Parliamentary trench warfare. I suspect…

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Looking ahead to the 2018 Nobel Peace Prize winner

Looking ahead to the 2018 Nobel Peace Prize winner

I suppose it's good that they are getting rid of the nukes and all that, but it's not much good for this year's Nobel Peace Prize betting market. pic.twitter.com/o9Ahh6UQoF — Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) April 27, 2018 Why I think the Nobel Committee will blow an ill wind for Trump Following this week’s events on the Korean peninsula you can see why Kim and Moon are the favourites to win the award. I’m going to avoid this market from Ladbrokes as…

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Ladbrokes make Michael Gove favourite to succeed Rudd as HomeSec

Ladbrokes make Michael Gove favourite to succeed Rudd as HomeSec

But would TMay really appoint him? The firm’s prices are here:- Next Home Secretary Michael Gove 4/1 Jeremy Hunt 6/1 James Brokenshire 8/1 Diane Abbott 8/1 Damian Hinds 10/1 David Gauke 10/1 Jacob Rees-Mogg 10/1 Karen Bradley 10/1 12/1 bar At this stage I’m certainly not betting on this market. Firstly we don’t know whether Amber Road will indeed be leaving and the chances are that she will be staying although she could be in a pickle if it is…

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