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It looks as though TMay could be facing a confidence vote

July 9th, 2018

On Betfair she’s odds-on to go this year

What a day with “Fuck Business” Johnson quitting as Foreign Secretary and reports now that the required total of 48 CON MPs to demand a confidence vote on TMay has been reached.

The betting on her exit date has moved very sharply from a 26% chance on Betfair yesterday morning that she’d be out this year to a 55% chance now.

I’m not so sure. As we’ve seen she is super-resilient and a lot more than 48 MPs would need to vote against her to force her out.

With CON meetings meeting this will develop even more.

Mike Smithson