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Category: Eastleigh

Eastleigh – the David Herdson view

Eastleigh – the David Herdson view

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twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 1, 2013 Who will the UKIP prostest vote unwind to, and how far Nick Clegg and Tim Farron have understandably hailed the Lib Dems’ first by-election win in over seven years as “stunning” and “staggering” respectively – after all, their party has not had much to celebrate electorally since 2010 and a win is a win – but Eastleigh was not a great success for any of the major parties. The Tories had the…

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The Eastleigh reaction: Marf and Henry G Manson

The Eastleigh reaction: Marf and Henry G Manson

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Marf thinks it is time to “Hug a Tory” To Henry the lesson is that many voters still hate the Tories David Cameron was chosen to lead the Conservative Party in 2005 because he was seen as a winner. Yet he has not won. He may be Prime Minister but he failed to win an election majority, as did Michael Howard and William Hague before him. We have to go back almost 21 years to the last Conservative majority from…

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Are we entering the twilight of the leadership of Dave

Are we entering the twilight of the leadership of Dave

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    Are we entering the twilight of the leadership of Davewww7.politicalbetting.com/?p=56969 twitter.com/TSEofPB/status… — TSEPB (@TSEofPB) February 28, 2013 Michael Crick, the other day tweeted From talking to more voters today I increasingly think UKIP could pull of a surprise victory in Eastleigh.They will certainly do very well — Michael Crick (@MichaelLCrick) February 26, 2013 Whilst the Lib Dems were said to be Lib Dems “feeling good” about Eastleigh but admit going to be “blooming close”. Senior source says they…

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Harry Hayfield’s Thursday night by-election review

Harry Hayfield’s Thursday night by-election review

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There are other contests a well as Eastleigh Wirral MBC, Pensby and Thingwall (Con Defence) Last Local Election Result (2012): Lab 37, Con 22, Lib Dem 7 (Labour majority of 8) Local Elections 2010: Lib Dem 5,151 (37%) Con 4,582 (33%) Lab 3,190 (23%) UKIP 518 (4%) Green 448 (3%) (Lib Dem HOLD) Local Elections 2011: Con 1,881 (37%) Lab 1,636 (32%) Lib Dem 1,209 (24%) UKIP 196 (4%) Green 180 (4%) (Con GAIN from Lib Dem) Local Elections 2012:…

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In the Eastleigh betting we could soon be seeing a Ukip-CON cross-over

In the Eastleigh betting we could soon be seeing a Ukip-CON cross-over

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The 1pm #Eastleigh betting bulletin sees Ukip getting very close to CON for the 2nd place slot. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 28, 2013 Number of bets placed today with Ladbrokes on #Eastleigh: 61% LDs, 27% UKIP, 7% CONS, 4% LAB — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 28, 2013 Pie chart showing Ladbrokes #Eastleigh up/down line mkt shares. You bet at 5/6 above below. bit.ly/c5gpH6 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 28, 2013

The battle for Eastleigh – the biggest by-election betting event ever

The battle for Eastleigh – the biggest by-election betting event ever

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How Betfair punters have seen the past three weeks Chart showing how CON #Eastleigh price has moved during campaign twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 27, 2013 Chart showing LD Betfair Eastleigh price during the campaign twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 27, 2013 Chart showing UKIP Betfair Eastleigh price during the campaign twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 27, 2013 Chart showing LAB Betfair Eastleigh price during the campaign twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 27, 2013 Betting should…

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The PB Eastleigh Competition: Test your forecasting skills by predicting the outcome

The PB Eastleigh Competition: Test your forecasting skills by predicting the outcome

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Based on last trade Betfair punters now make Tories a 16.7% chance to win #Eastleigh. twitter.com/byelection/sta… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 26, 2013 Predict the winning party & majority in votes This surely has been the biggest and most important by-election for 30 years and it certainly has been the one that has been most polled. We’ve had five published surveys in all and even with them you’d be hard-pressed to choose a winner. So what do you think? Just…

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