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Category: George Osborne

Meet the man who could win the referendum for Leave

Meet the man who could win the referendum for Leave

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An unpopular budget could see the referendum become an opportunity to kick the government and that’s not good news for Remain. I’m not a fan of plebiscites simply because often they become a referendum not on the substantive issue of the referendum but a referendum on the Government of the day and an opportunity to give the government a kicking without the risk of a change of government. During the AV referendum, it seemed the primary reason many voters voted…

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William Hill say nobody’s bet on Osbo since the Google tax row broke out

William Hill say nobody’s bet on Osbo since the Google tax row broke out

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https://twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/status/693423092916473857w We don’t know how many bets on Osborne that they’d normally expect in the same period so it’s quite hard to assess the William Hill statement. In any case you don’t get many punters this far out from an outcome (it could be 2019/2020) ready to lock up their cash on a favourite with tighter odds than 2/1. The point remains however: the Google deal hurts the Chancellor because so little money appears to be forthcoming. Cameron’s attempt to…

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Tissue Price on Osborne’s leadership ambitions and his EURef problem

Tissue Price on Osborne’s leadership ambitions and his EURef problem

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The Chancellor is 13/8 favourite to be Next Conservative Leader. He is 15/8 favourite to be Next Prime Minister. And on Betfair, you can get nearly 2/1 and 5/2 about the two propositions. But the folk wisdom on backing the next Tory leader is that the favourite never wins. That the winner is more about who he isn’t, than who he is. You have to go all the way back to Eden to find a clear case of the long-term…

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It’s not inconceivable that in a year’s time there’ll be a new CON leader and Prime Minister

It’s not inconceivable that in a year’s time there’ll be a new CON leader and Prime Minister

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ConservativeHome A referendum BREXIT vote would surely be the end of Cameron There’s is a widespread view that if the EU referendum goes against Cameron then his position will no longer be tenable. If that happens then we could only be months away from the first Conservative leadership contest since 2005 in which the party would not just be choosing a new leader but the next prime minister. With the plan apparently for the referendum this year and the tightness…

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Tim Montgomerie’s right: Current government policy decisions are driven by need not to be unpopular on EURef day

Tim Montgomerie’s right: Current government policy decisions are driven by need not to be unpopular on EURef day

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Airport delay. Tax cred Uturn. Slower cuts… Me for @CapX on No10's pre-referendum campaign https://t.co/mXTlrvH2nz pic.twitter.com/xkRM6je9xo — Tim Montgomerie ?? (@montie) January 1, 2016 Everything for the next few months is about the EU vote One of the great problems with referenda is that by the time we get to polling day the issue might have moved on from the issue on the ballot paper to a vote of confidence in the incumbent government. Arguably the AV vote in 2011…

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Star War images: Jedi Jezza and Stormtrooper Osbo

Star War images: Jedi Jezza and Stormtrooper Osbo

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The Donald Brind column – from a Labour perspective An old joke was given fresh legs just before Christmas when George Osborne set out to sprinkle some stardust on his image with an appearance at the premiere of Star Wars. Q. Why did 4,000 people boo George Osborne? A. Because that’s how many the cinema holds. In the original version it was the 80,000 capacity of the Olympic stadium that limited the opprobrium heaped on the Chancellor during the 2012…

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While latest polling might not be good for Corbyn it also raises questions over Osborne

While latest polling might not be good for Corbyn it also raises questions over Osborne

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@MSmithsonPB If 38% of Con voters can't answer a question like that in Osborne's favour he's fucked. — ForgottenGenius (@ExStrategist) December 21, 2015 The problem Osborne’s got is the party’s electoral system that was devised by William Hague during his 1997-2001 period as leader. Basically there is an exhaustive ballot of MPs to choose two of their number whose names will go forward to the membership in a secret postal ballot. Given that so many of the blue team at…

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Guido’s tweet could be right: George Osborne is a Tory version of Ed Miliband

Guido’s tweet could be right: George Osborne is a Tory version of Ed Miliband

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Have said it before and I will say it again, he's the Tory version of Ed Miliband https://t.co/u1aw7osfeQ — Guido Fawkes (@GuidoFawkes) December 14, 2015 Like Ed his awkwardness is not going to go away Shortly after Ed Miliband was elected LAB leader in September 2010 some bright spark set up a website devoted to pictures of the opposition leader looking awkward. In its way this hit the nail on the head and was the forerunner of the famous Ed…

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