Archive for the 'Corbyn' Category

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The LDs go for the jugular against Corbyn in Manchester Gorton

Wednesday, April 12th, 2017

An attack also designed for Remainers

Above is a brutal Lib Dem leaflet that is going out in Manchester Gorton where the by-election takes places on May 4th.

The party which used to hold all but two of the council seats in the seat believes it is in with good chance of getting a good result and is throwing a lot at the campaign.

Corbyn’s ambivalence over Brexit was always a vulnerability and neither helps the party with leavers or remainers. My own view is that the red team has read too much into the data that had Leave the winners in two thirds of its MPs seats. Those wanting to stay in the EU are much more fired up than those who back Leave.

If the LD leaflet appears brutal then think how the Tories will exploit the LAB leader’s history and that of his shadow chancellor, John McDonnell. Their back stories have so many hostages to fortune.

Mike Smithson




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Can Vladimir Putin make Jeremy Corbyn Prime Minister?

Sunday, April 9th, 2017



Picture: Vladimir Putin meeting French Presidential candidate Marine Le Pen.

If Putin made Donald Trump President why couldn’t Putin make Corbyn PM?

For us political gamblers one of the things we’re now having to factor in to our bets is which candidate or party is Vladimir Putin backing.

It just isn’t those gamblers who wear tin foil hats who are wondering about this. Even that well known Democratic Party member and liberal snowflake Dick Cheney recently commented that

Russia’s alleged interference in last year’s US presidential election could be considered “an act of war”, according to former US Vice President Dick Cheney.

Mr Cheney, who was George W Bush’s deputy between 2001 and 2009, said there was “no question” that Vladimir Putin had attempted to influence the election outcome. 

“There’s no question there was a very serious effort made by Putin and his government, his organisation, to interfere in major ways with our basic fundamental democratic processes,” Mr Cheney said during a speech at a business conference in New Delhi, India.

“In some quarters, that would be considered an act of war. I think it’s a kind of conduct and activity we will see going forward. We know he’s attempted it previously in other states in the Baltics. 

“I would not underestimate the weight that we, as Americans, assign to the Russian attempts to interfere with our internal political processes,” he added.

US intelligence agencies have claimed Moscow was responsible for several hacks on computers belonging to the Democratic Party and senior members of Hillary Clinton’s campaign team – the contents of which were later released by Wikileaks. 

With the picture atop this thread shows what many perceive as Putin’s interference in the French Presidential election, which this week culminated with France’s polling watchdog warning Russia organisations to stop meddling with the polling/reporting in the election.

The events in Syria have resulted in UK/Russian relations deteriorating with Russia mocking Boris Johnson you can see why Putin might prefer a different government in the UK, especially with an opposition party leader and staff who even Labour MPs are accusing of being pro Putin/Russia.

So Vladimir Putin could well  be Jeremy Corbyn’s Tenzing Norgay as Corbyn attempts to climb the electoral Everest that is winning a general election. I mean we’ve seen it before, a candidate with appalling personal ratings, loathed by his party establishment, but believed to be backed by Putin won the election. Jeremy Corbyn might just be the British Donald Trump.

TSE




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Labour’s problems go well beyond Corbyn – it’s just that they’re not part of the main political conversation of the day

Wednesday, April 5th, 2017

There has been quite a lot of coverage of Jeremy Corbyn’s interview on ITV news in which he hit back after the interviewer raised questions about his leadership.

There’s some merit in his complaint. Labour is saying things about a wide range of issues at the moment but the problem is nobody’s wanting to listen. The reason is not just the leader but that the main political dialogue at the moment is on Brexit and here the main opposition party has struggled to have a definitive view.

There a good analysis of this in a commentary from the political analysts Ciceroelections.

“… the problem is that the Brexit issue is becoming so all-encompassing in how the media is covering politics that it is almost inevitable that Labour becomes somewhat marginalised. Other than seeking concessions on how the process will be scrutinised and setting out ‘tests’ against which Labour will judge the Brexit deal, there is no escaping the fact that negotiating Britain’s exit is a matter for government, not opposition. Meanwhile Labour’s stated desire to represent neither only the 52% nor the 48% but the 100% runs the distinct risk of seeming in fact to represent nobody.. “

This all comes only weeks before the May elections which can sometimes be a difficult period for party leaderships particularly those that are struggling.

The Lib Dem election analyst Mark Pack has noted that if Labour does suffer losses, as is being predicted, it will be the third consecutive year when the main opposition party has lost seats. This is totally unprecedented. Generally oppositions do well in local elections particularly when it is not a general election year.

If indeed this happens it will further raise questions about Mr Corbyn and he can expect more interviews like the one with ITV.

Meanwhile Mrs. May can continue without worrying about the opposition.

Mike Smithson




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Where should a concerned LAB supporter direct his anger?

Tuesday, April 4th, 2017

“I want us to employ the power of government as a force for good to transform the way we deal with mental health problems right across society, and at every stage of life.”

Fine words from the Prime Minister in her Charity Commission lecture in January.

It’s an issue I care about – I ran a small mental health charity for several years. But as so often with the PM the words don’t match the reality.

As a letter in the London Review of Books from Chris Purnell, who works in mental health in Kent, explains from March 16th it became harder for mentally ill people to qualify for Personal Independence Payments. A key qualifying rule now reads ‘For reasons other than psychological distress, cannot plan the route of a journey.” The effect of this exclusion and similar amendment says Purnell, “is that people suffering mental illness will no longer qualify for PIP.”

Could it be that what Mrs May used to term the nasty party is alive and well?

There’s more nastiness to come. She may have sacked George Osborne but the Prime Minister is pushing ahead with the ex-Chancellor’s plans to curb welfare payments, which according to research reported by the Guardianwill push a quarter of a million children into poverty while wiping thousands of pounds off payments for bereaved families.” The think tank Policy in Practice found that “more than 600,000 families – championed as the “just about managing” households, which the prime minister vowed to protect on her first day in government – would be hit by the child welfare cuts, while many more could be affected by other cuts.”

For a Labour supporter there is so much to be angry about with this government.

Health The head of NHS England, Simon Stevens, has been told he’ll be getting no extra cash so last week was forced to announce he was shelving the target that 92% of patients would be treated within 18 weeks for non-urgent surgery. That decision says Shadow Health Secretary Jon Ashworth breaks the NHS constitution and puts the Health Secretary Jeremy Hunt “in breach of his legal duty

Education Schools face the first cuts in per pupil funding since the mid 90s according to an analysis by the Institute for Fiscal Studies reported in the Independent.  “The respected think-tank calculated that real-terms terms spending on school pupils would drop by 6.5 per cent over the course of this parliament”.

Jeremy Corbyn did well at Prime Minister’s questions in challenging the Prime Minister on what undoubtedly amounts to a broken Tory election promise.

But this is where doubts surface about where I should direct my anger. However much he improves his performance the hard fact is that Jeremy is electoral poison for the Labour party. PB is awash with evidence of how Corbyn’s low ratings has dragged the party down with him.

Speak to a Corbyn supporter and you will be told about Jeremy’s fine values; about how much he cares about the NHS, education and looking after the poor and disadvantaged.

My answer is usually pretty brutal. If he really cared he would move on and make way for someone who would give us a shot at winning power. That’s the only way we can undo the nasty things the Tories are doing.

Don Brind



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Corbyn’s ratings hit an historical low for a LAB leader at this stage

Saturday, April 1st, 2017

Only one of those in the chart led party to GE victory

Punters give JC a 39% chance of staying till GE



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Maybe a reason why LAB gets poor media coverage is that the Corbyn-appointed PR team is not up to it

Friday, March 31st, 2017

It is as if the red team has given up

I have never been a fan of Seumas Milne, the PR chief of Corbyn’s Labour, not because of his politics but that he is so poor at the job.

The series of Tweets highlighted by Sam Coates of the Times above is something that the whole LAB leadership should worry about – they are after all the OFFICIAL opposition with all the associated perks that go with it.

Until this is sorted out let’s hear no complaints from Corbyn cultists about the way their man is treated. Mr. Milne was the leader’s appointment.

I’m not hopeful of change.

Mike Smithson




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If indeed GfK is part of a conspiracy against Corbyn then how come other pollsters have similar numbers?

Tuesday, March 28th, 2017

There’s a fierce attack in the Canary on GfK and its research director known well to PBers, Kieran Pedley.

The chart says it all and shows all three sets of published leader ratings in March. And you know what – all the numbers are very close – the Canary favourite Corbyn is doing appallingly however you look at the numbers.

So if there is a conspiracy against Labour’s bed-blocker leader then Opinium and Ipsos MORI are involed as well.

The Corbyn cultists have simply got to accept that their man is electoral poison.

Mike Smithson




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Gloomy polling news for Mr. Corbyn from the pollster that’s returning to GB politics after 12 year absence

Monday, March 27th, 2017

A new poll conducted by GfK, the first published GB political survey since GE2005 when it operated as NOP, has  Corbyn as unpopular among Brits as Trump.

GfK surveyed a nationally representative sample of 1,938 GB adults between March 1st and March 15th, 2017 and found:

  • Prime Minister Theresa May is more popular than the Government overall. 46% of GB adults approve of the job she is doing as Prime Minister (just 33% disapprove) while 40% approve of the way the government is running the country with the same number disapproving (40%).
  • Meanwhile, just 17% of GB adults approve of the job Jeremy Corbyn is doing as Leader of the Opposition. 58% disapprove. 26% don’t know. These numbers are virtually identical to Donald Trump’s approval figures among British adults. 18% of Brits approve of the job Donald Trump is doing as US President with 60% disapproving and 22% saying that they don’t know.

Commenting on these findings, GfK Research Director Keiran Pedley said:

“Whilst Donald Trump’s approval rating among British adults will be the least of the President’s worries following his healthcare struggles last week, it will be of great concern to Labour supporters that Jeremy Corbyn’s approval rating among Brits is no better. With Theresa May clearly more popular than the Government as a whole and the Conservatives significantly ahead in the polls, it looks like Labour is a long way from power”.

Other findings in the poll included:

Brexit – right decision / wrong decision
Right decision 46%
Wrong decision 41%
Don’t know 13%

Westminster voting intention
CON 41%
LAB 28%
UKIP 12%
LD 7%