Archive for the 'Videos' Category

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PB Video Analysis. Brexit: How We Got Here & What We Want

Sunday, July 15th, 2018

So: Brexit.

I’ve artfully avoided addressing it in my videos so far, but the time has come. Today’s video is about Brexit. Specifically, it addresses the process through which Britain joined the EEC, and then asks what the UK government actually wants from negotiations. Why have there been all these gyrations, when the EU has proposed a CETA/South Korea type relationship already?

Be warned: this video will be equally annoying to Remainers and Leavers.

Robert Smithson

Robert tweets as ‘@MarketWarbles’




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PB Video Analysis: UK Property – What’s It Worth?

Tuesday, July 10th, 2018

In my last video – Castles of Sand? – I discussed the specific drivers behind UK, and specifically London, property prices.

This video is a little different. In this, I ask how properties should be valued, and how they have been valued, looking at rental yields, income multiples and other factors. I also ask whether London, as a “Global City” is simply different.

Robert Smithson

Robert tweets as ‘@MarketWarbles’




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PB Video Analysis: UK Property wealth could rest on Castles of Sand

Thursday, July 5th, 2018

Only in the UK is the phrase “property porn” a real thing. Home prices dominate polite conversation. And little wonder: housing dominates UK personal balances sheets. In no other country does it make up such an enormous share of assets. Why? Because UK property has outperformed that in other developed countries in the last 38 years. This video asks why that is, and asks if the UK property wealth rests in castles of sand.

Robert Smithson




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The Worst Economic Statistic?

Thursday, June 14th, 2018

There are many economic statistics, some broadly useful, others bizarrely esoteric. Only one manages to be both useless and dangerous. Worse: it’s trumpeted by journalists, so you may even have been taken in yourself. Welcome to the worst economic statistic.

Robert Smithson

Robert tweets as MarketWarbles follow him by clicking the follow button below




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Italy: 50 ways to leave the Euro

Tuesday, June 12th, 2018

The latest video analysis from Robert Smithson

This is the most recent production from Robert who has been associated with PB right from the start in March 2004 and, indeed, was the person who suggested to me in the first place to establish the site.

Most PBers will know him from his regular and illuminating comments on the discussion threads.

He’s now producing regular video examinations on key business and economic issues and relevant one will now be published on PB. This is the latest on Italy and the Euro.

To make sure you don’t miss subscribe to the YouTube channel.

Mike Smithson




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The PB Polling Matters TV Show & Podcast: Brexit, Zac’s by-election, UKIP’s leadership and whether LAB has a polling floor

Wednesday, October 26th, 2016

Detailed analysis of the issues and the numbers

A huge amount has happened in UK politics since the last show two weeks ago and joining Keiran Pedley (@KeiranPedley) are Asa Bennett (@AsaBenn) of the Telegraph and Leo Barasi (@leobarasi) of noiseofthecrowd.com

BREXIT still totally dominates UK politics and the programme seeks to look at its likely impact in the by-election and, of course, the impact on the differents part of the UK.

Another area for analysis is Labour’s polling plight and whether there is a floor. Also in the show is a look at the UKIP leadership fight and the prospects for a Stop Brexit party.

Update – The audio only version of the podcast is available below.

Mike Smithson




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Is Hillary Clinton really the certainty that she now appears – the main topic in this week’s PB/Polling Matters Podcast/TV Show

Wednesday, October 12th, 2016

On this week’s PB/Polling Matters show Keiran is joined by US elections experts Mark Gettleson from Portobello Communications and hosts of the LSE US podcast ‘The Ballpark’ Denise Baron and Chris Gilson.

Topics discussed include reaction to Sunday’s debate and how the polls have moved since. Keiran questions whether US polls have an appropriately balanced sample. We look at polling on why US voters are voting the way they are – is it ‘for’ each candidate or ‘against’ their respective opponents? We also talk Trump’s war with Paul Ryan and the potential impact of early voting and what to expect from the battle for Congress.

Today’s guests can be found here -Keiran Pedley (@keiranpedley), Mark Gettleson (@MarksOutOf100), Chris Gilson (@ChrisHJGilson) and Denise Baron (@BaronDenise)

You can listen to the LSE podcast ‘The Ballpark’ here. The podcast version of the TV is here.

Mike Smithson




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Great (Br)expectations, why Tories don’t want a snap election and the Clinton ’surge’ – this week’s PB/Polling Matters TV Show & Podcast

Wednesday, October 5th, 2016

Can TMay really meet what voters are expecting from BREXIT

This week Kieran Pedley and his guests, Rob Vance and Matt Singh, on the PB/Polling Matters TV Show & Podcast focus mostly on the Tories and the big issue that looks set to determine whether TMay is successful – the BREXIT negotiations. The polling suggests that people are expecting a lot and is the new PM going to have to disappoint?

Then there’s all the talk of a snap election which the PM rules out at every opportunity. Finally, with WH2016 getting even closer, the team look at what’s apparently, a Clinton recovery.

You can follow this week’s guests at:
@keiranpedley
@robvance
@mattsingh_

The audio podcast version

Mike Smithson