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Month: May 2009

Is the Tory clear-out Dave’s “Clause 4”?

Is the Tory clear-out Dave’s “Clause 4”?

Will the focus on his miscreants be good for the party? Over the past few days there’s been a lot of concern in Conservative circles over the way the media has put the focus on problems of Tory MPs in the expenses saga with scant attention, apparently, being given to the problems of Brown and his ministers. We’ve seen it in abundance on the site. It’s all media bias, the “Beeb having it in for us” or that the Telegraph…

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Are the over 55 figures the best indicator?

Are the over 55 figures the best indicator?

YouGov Do oldies dominate when there’s a very low-turnout? I have to admit to being completely perplexed by the polling data that we are getting about next Thursday Euro election. What worries me is the turnout level which, if it is very low, will play havoc with all the polling projections. Pollsters have a big enough challenge in a general election when 60% actually vote – how are they going to perform if the percentage is near to the 24%…

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Has this now become a daily occurrence?

Has this now become a daily occurrence?

How many more are in the pipe-line? After all the pressure it’s hardly surprising that Julie Kirkbride has bowed to the inevitable and announced that she won’t be standing again. Margaret Moran’s future always looked in doubt right from the start of the Telegraph’s disclosures. But how long is this going to go on. Are we going to see at least one a day between now and the general election? Will there come a time when the public’s thirst for…

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Is voter certainty UKIP’s secret weapon?

Is voter certainty UKIP’s secret weapon?

What chances of Farage’s party over-hauling Labour? There’s a buzz around the UKIP campaign HQ at the moment following a private ComRes poll which seems to suggest that they could do very well – perhaps, even, over-taking Labour for second place. I haven’t seen any figures but my understanding is that amongst those who are certain or near-certain to vote then UKIP’s share was in the 18 – 19% region. This was still some way behind the Labour share but…

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Could we be witnessing Gord’s final 12 days as PM?

Could we be witnessing Gord’s final 12 days as PM?

Will cabinet members heed the Times and depose Brown? There’s a remarkable main leader in the Times this morning the likes of which I cannot recall ever seeing before. For the paper is calling on cabinet ministers, in the wake of next Thursday’s expected mauling in the Euro and local elections, to rise up and get rid of the man who became their leader less than two years ago. The Times declares: “..The vital choice lies with his Cabinet colleagues….

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Tony McNulty: My 500 pound troughers” betting haul

Tony McNulty: My 500 pound troughers” betting haul

Did you get the 5/1 that he’d have to pay some back? On March 28th I suggested here that you should take the 5/1 bet then being offered by William Hill that one of the first round troughers, minister Tony McNulty would “pay back any of his housing expenses”. I got £100 on so I’m looking forward to £500 in winnings and, of course, my stake back. It’s seems a very long time ago but just eight weeks ago McNulty…

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And now by popular demand – the return of Marf

And now by popular demand – the return of Marf

Welcome back from your break Our cartoon, the first for a while, is by Marf who is just getting back to work following a break. It’s great to see your drawing on the site again and we’ve missed your often biting satire – particularly during the first stages the MPs expenses disclosures. I like today’s because it sort of puts the whole thing into perspective. It’s North Korea that we should be worrying about More of Marf’s work can be…

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Two more June 4th predictions

Two more June 4th predictions

What vote share will UKIP get in the Euro election on June 4th? 0 – 8% 9 – 10% 11 – 12% 13 – 14% 15 – 16% 17 – 18% 19 – 20% 21 – 100%    What vote share will the BNP get in the Euro election on June 4th? 0 – 3% 4 – 5% 6 – 7% 8 – 9% 10 – 11% 12 – 13% 14 – 16% 17 – 100%