|Which is most to blame for the cuts? (YouGov)||CON-LD coalition %||Last Labour government %||Both %||Neither %||Don’t know %|
|07 March 2011||27||40||22||6||5|
|21 February 2011||25||41||24||5||5|
|07 February 2011||25||38||26||6||5|
|25 January 2011||26||40||24||5||6|
|10 January 2011||22||40||25||8||5|
|11 December 2010||23||41||24||7||5|
|15 November 2010||22||43||23||7||5|
|07 October 2010||17||47||20||10||5|
|20 September 2010||21||44||22||7||6|
|06 September 2010||22||45||20||6||7|
|31 August 2010||23||45||20||6||6|
|16 August 2010||22||45||21||6||7|
|02 August 2010||22||45||20||6||7|
|19 July 2010||21||48||19||7||5|
|05 July 2010||21||44||21||8||7|
|23 June 2010||18||49||18||9||6|
Is the “It’s Labour’s fault” rhetoric getting tired?
The overnight daily poll had Labour with an 11 percent lead which according to the YouGov’s deputy head of political polling, Anthony Wells on his UKPR site is the biggest lead that the red team has enjoyed since the election.
In fact you’ve got to go back to the end of September 2007, when the firm polled for the Daily Telegraph, to find the last occasion when Labour last had a margin of this scale and we all know what happened thereafter.
For me the key tracker and one of the best indicators is the table featured above – YouGov’s standard question to those on its polling panel over who is most to blame for the cuts. As can be seen this week’s survey found the proportion blaming the coalition at its highest level since last May’s general election.
There is a gap in the government’s favour but it is getting narrower.
The issue here, of course, is that while polling on individual measures generally produces negatives the overall “balance of blame” has remained solidly with Labour – but that could start to change.
That could be dangerous for ministers – because one of their solid defences whenever cuts are attacked is to try to remind voters about the last Labour government.
Clearly the reaction to this month’s budget could set the political weather for the coming weeks and the May 5th round of elections.