Some ugly polls for Gingrich this morning. Our forecast has Romney +13 in Florida, 95% chance of winning. nyti.ms/ywKYEp
— Nate Silver (@fivethirtyeight) January 29, 2012
Last Sunday he was 8% ahead
With Florida going into its final day of campaigning tomorrow it looks pretty certain that Mitt Romney will chalk up his second victory which should, surely, provide him with a solid platform to go forward.
Nate Silver has produced his latest forecast – 95% chance of a Romney victory. A week ago Nate’s prediction was that it was 75% chance for Newt.
That’s how the betting markets see it. He’s 1/25 to win on Tuesday and about 1/7 to win the nomination.
Mike Smithson @MikeSmithsonOGH