Browsed by
Month: March 2013

For first time since Osbo’s March 2012 budget more people say they want a CON majority than a LAB one

For first time since Osbo’s March 2012 budget more people say they want a CON majority than a LAB one

Comments 0 Comment

But 41% want LAB in next government to 35% saying CON More people tell YouGov that their preferred #GE2015 outcome is a CON majority than a LAB one -a crossover twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 28, 2013 YouGov’s preferred GE2015 outcome findings – the 12 month record Today’s YouGov finding that more would prefer a CON majority than a LAB one is first time in more than a year twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 28, 2013 And Ed…

Read More Read More

David Miliband’s departure leaves Blairites leaderless

David Miliband’s departure leaves Blairites leaderless

Comments 0 Comment

Henry G Manson on the significance of today’s announcement It’s been said that New Labour was more of sect than a movement. Now shorn of a leader the moderate faction has no-one else to turn to. David Miliband’s defeat in the 2010 leadership election showed that New Labor could not easily endure beyond Blair. Instead David Miliband allowed himself to be presented as a continuity candidate when many in the movement and country wanted more of a change and break…

Read More Read More

Marf on the exit of David Miliband + latest South Shields betting

Marf on the exit of David Miliband + latest South Shields betting

Comments 0 Comment

After a morning with a lot of betting moves the William Hill 1/20 is the best South Shields price for LAB. bit.ly/u6wr8r — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 27, 2013   Best prices on Ukip in South Shields is the 16/1 available at Ladbokes (bit.ly/c5gpH6)and PaddyPower (bit.ly/I8PkIO) — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 27, 2013   The money on the S Shields by-election is going on Ukip beating the Tories. Ladbrokes have 8/11 on them coming 2nd with 5/4 for CON. —…

Read More Read More

Harry Hayfield reviews the battle of May 2nd – the locals

Harry Hayfield reviews the battle of May 2nd – the locals

Comments 0 Comment

The by-election could take place on May 2 when the CON will be defending twice as many local seats as LAB/LD combined twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 27, 2013 Could it be like the CON 1993 disaster? To say that the Conservatives have been having a bad time of it lately would be an understatement. Since the PCC elections across the United Kingdom, if you are a Conservative candidate you have either lost the local by-election that you were…

Read More Read More

Daily Mirror: David Miliband to quit as an MP to take charity job in New York

Daily Mirror: David Miliband to quit as an MP to take charity job in New York

Comments 0 Comment

This means a by-election in South Shields David Miliband’s South Shield seats looks rock solid. Ukp didn’t contest @ #GE2010. See result. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 26, 2013 @ #GE2010 South Shields had the 5th highest number of postal votes, 36.2%, in UK – suggesting super effective local LAB organisation. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 26, 2013 My guess is that Labour will try to hold by-election on May 2 – the day of the locals when UKIP’s…

Read More Read More

Marf on the Cyprus aftermath

Marf on the Cyprus aftermath

Comments 0 Comment

And yet another Boris betting market PaddyPower now has a market on which constituency Boris will stand in at #GE2015 .bit.ly/I8PkIO twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 26, 2013

Main points from the pre-Easter polling rush

Main points from the pre-Easter polling rush

Comments 0 Comment

LDs move to highest YouGov level since 2010 Pie chart showing today’s YouGov with the LDs on 13% for the 1st time since the tuition fee row in Nov 2010. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 26, 2013 The Two Eds struggle convincing even LAB voters on the economy Just 51% of LAB voters in today’s ComRes poll said they trust the 2 Eds to make the right decisions about the economy. 35% said they didn’t — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB)…

Read More Read More

Ukip up 5 and the LDs up 4 as the big two fall back in ComRes phone poll

Ukip up 5 and the LDs up 4 as the big two fall back in ComRes phone poll

Comments 0 Comment

Ukip up 5 & the LDs up 4 in tonight’s ComRes phone poll for the Indy. See pie chart twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 25, 2013 Ukip’s 14% is the highest ever for a phone survey With the Times deciding to get rid of its monthly Populus poll there are now only regular three telephone surveys each month – ICM for the Guardian, Ipsos-MORI for the Standard and this one – ComRes for the Independent. As can be scene…

Read More Read More