Tonight’s bumper polling night – all the main online firms have surveys for the Sundays
@MSmithsonPB Typical. You wait for a poll for ages, and then FOUR come along at once..
— Damian Lyons Lowe (@DamianSurvation) July 13, 2013
This is how each of the firms had it last time
Tonight’s is a very unusual one for polls outside general election campaigns. By my reckoning all the main online firms have a got a survey coming out and we should have at least four polls.
As well as the usual YouGov for the Sunday Times we should see the fortnightly Opininum for the Observer, ComRes for the Indy on Sunday and Sunday Mirror and Survation.
To give an idea of what they did last time I’ve prepared the above chart. The YouGov figure is the one in last week’s Sunday Times poll.
My guess is that we’ll see some improvement in the CON figures in the non-YouGov polls at the expense of UKIP.
I’ll update this as the data comes in.
Update – the polls from Opinium and ComRes
LAB extend lead in Opinium for Observer LDs down to 6% CON 27%(nc) LAB 38%(+1) LD 6%(-1) UKIP 19%(nc)
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 13, 2013
ComRes online for Indy on Sunday/S Mirror has LAB 36% +1 CON 28%+2 UKIP 18% -1 LDs 8% (-2) Bad for the LDs & UKIP doing ok
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 13, 2013
Michael Gove has worse figures than Osborne and Balls in the ComRes Well/Badly ratings. May gets good figures. See pic.twitter.com/ktcl6qAbRs
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 13, 2013
We’ve now got Survation for Mail on Sunday
Survation for Mail on Sunday has:- LAB 36 CON 28 LD 9 UKIP 20 There's a methodology change so compairsons with previous polls less valid
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 13, 2013
Mike Smithson
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