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Month: November 2013

How WH2012 would have finished up if only white men had voted

How WH2012 would have finished up if only white men had voted

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If only white men voted here is what the 2012 map would have looked like source: http://t.co/RXZd6YqyW5 MAP: pic.twitter.com/6tMbcLyCsU — PoliticaI Charts (@PoliticalCharts) November 28, 2013 We’d probably get a similar pattern in the UK I find the chart above absolutely fascinating although not surprising. In the US, of course, the Democratic party colour is blue and the Republican one red. So the message is that it would be President Romney now if the franchise has been what it was…

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PB Nighthawks is now open

PB Nighthawks is now open

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Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. Nighthawks gives me the opportunity to say Let Me Entertain you with my round up of links. To you lurkers, why not delurk? You’ll have No Regrets if you delurk, you’ll experience a great Freedom from lurking, when you Delurk. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant…

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Miliband is still odds-on to become next PM

Miliband is still odds-on to become next PM

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Latest next PM betting odds EdM tight odds-on favourite Theresa May 16/1 Boris & Yvette 20/1 pic.twitter.com/RTnBitTLSd — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 27, 2013 17 months left to go before GE2015 I don’t think any of these are a good bet at this stage. There’s a lot of water to run under the bridge. The only certainty is that the date in the fixed term parliament act for the next general election is May 7th 2015. It’s possible that the coalition…

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UKIP within 5 points of taking Thanet South according to new constituency poll. CON slips from 1st to 3rd

UKIP within 5 points of taking Thanet South according to new constituency poll. CON slips from 1st to 3rd

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The first of 8 seat specific surveys funded by a UKIP donor Today marks the start of a new GE2015 polling series funded by UKIP donor, Alan Bown. These will be published in the coming weeks and will look at LAB-CON marginals where UKIP may be a factor in the 2015 general election. These are the only ­ constituency specific polls to be published so far during this election cycle (the Ashcroft marginals polling combined constituencies which were not broken…

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On the Betfair exchange punters are rating a victory for YES in the #IndyRef at 18.9pc

On the Betfair exchange punters are rating a victory for YES in the #IndyRef at 18.9pc

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On this big day for #IndyRef Betfair punters put the chance of Winning YES vote at 18.9% See chart pic.twitter.com/6wNdGL5zR3 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 26, 2013 Producer @amberskynews holds Scotland's Future in her arms pic.twitter.com/P0s3Vl7v6O — Adam Boulton (@adamboultonSKY) November 26, 2013 But the Bank of England remains the lender of last resort SNP White Paper on what might kinda happen when banks go phut pic.twitter.com/ImQMRgp9Qu h/t @EdConwaySky — Sam Coates Times (@SamCoatesTimes) November 26, 2013

Thanet South could see CON to UKIP tactical voting to stop LAB

Thanet South could see CON to UKIP tactical voting to stop LAB

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The stage is set surely for Nigel Farage to become an MP Big GE2015 news has been the announcement by Thanet South MP, Laura Sandys, that she’s going to stand down at the general election. She won the seat from LAB in 2010 and, as the chart shows, had a pretty comfortable majority. Add on the expected first time incumbency bonus and it looked relatively safe. That’s all changed with her announcement. Nigel Farage had already indicated that the seat…

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The Tories get 3pc closer in the ComRes phone poll for the Indy

The Tories get 3pc closer in the ComRes phone poll for the Indy

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Most see the blues as being for the rich The monthly phone poll by ComRes for the Indy is just out and has the Tories up 4 on the very low 28% recorded in October. This move is greater than the margin of error . But CON strategists might be concerned that the move back to the Tories has not been at the expense of Labour which also moves up. To have any chance of coming out with most seats…

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