Post Super Tuesday odds from. Ladbrokes pic.twitter.com/6wD953GsxI
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 2, 2016
The expectation before last night was that Trump would probably win all but one of the eleven states. As it turned out Trump took 8. Clinton was expected to have almost a clean sweeps but lost four.
This is, of course, a battle not about delegate totals and throughout the night one of the big features of Marco Rubio’s performance was his failure in state after state to reach the 20% threshold in votes that triggered the allocation of delegates.
Clinton lost to Sanders as expected Vermont, but won the neighbouring state of Massachusetts where some polls pointed to a Sanders victory. Elsewhere Sanders took Minnesota and Oklahoma which, interestingly, did not go to Trump. Sanders had another victory in Colorado.
Looking forward in the GOP Race Trump needs to beat Rubio in the upcoming Florida primary and to overcome Kasich in his home state of Ohio. That would allow a pretty clear path to the nomination.
The threats to the two front runners are not election based. Hillary has the FBI investigation into her emails still hanging over her while the Republican establishment might try to find a procedural way of blocking Trump. These both appear long shots.