While everything is so focused on the pandemic punters on the Smarkets betting exchange are becoming less confident that Johnson will be able to reach a deal in the few days that are left.
Clearly with all the other distractions and the organisational constraints that COVID leads to it must be a massive challenge for ministers as they move into the EU end game.
From the reports we have the big issue remains fishing and the accessibility of EU nations into post-Brexit British waters. What we don’t know is whether Johnson is going to go to the wire and risk a no deal with all the potential issues that that creates especially as much of the required infrastructure has yet to be built.
Given the pandemic there is a strong case for extending the transition but Johnson might not be prepared to accept that.
In another market punters make it a 38% that there will be a no deal Brexit.