A bit of a CON recovery in the first 2022 poll

A bit of a CON recovery in the first 2022 poll

What happens in the absence of political news

It is always interesting to see the first polling of a New Year because it generally follows a period when there have been very few political developments over the preceding two weeks.

Undoubtedly the period leading up to Christmas was dreadful for the Tories including losing a by-election to a party that had been more than 50% behind at GE2019.

The question now is will it last. I’ve just had a small bet at a 25% chance that we will see a January Tory poll lead.

Mike Smithson

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