We have not discussed Trump for some time but he continues to be doing well in WH2024 nomination polling as well as the betting. I’m less convinced. I wonder whether he polls well because as an ex-President he has far higher name recognition but there are a lot of negatives.

Although he’s getting old, 77 next birthday, he’s still younger than Biden who increasingly looks as though he intends to go for a second term. But there are a lot of negatives particularly his continued refusal to accept the WH2020 result. He’s the world’s leading example of a bad loser.

Desantis is on the decline in the betting but he remains a very big figure being the Governor of Florida.

I’m sure Biden would prefer Trump to Desantis and Nikki Haley who is due to announce her bid next week.

Mike Smithson