We are now just six and a half weeks away from the first actual voting WH2024 that will decide who wins the American presidential election next November. The primares start on the 15th of January when the Republicans in Iowa could be ready to push their support behind Nikki Haley who as the table RCP above shows has taken significant favorability lead over both Trump and Biden. What we do know is that these opening States can have a huge…
We are not long now from the first part of the campaign to elect the next president of the United States. At this stage this is all about the primaries. Who shall be the flag carriers for the Democrats and the Republicans? For more than a quarter of a century, the first State with a Primary has been New Hampshire which is at the North Eastern extreme of the country. It is sparsely populated and a very costly state in…
Next year’s White House Race will be the sixth to be covered since PB was founded in 2004. But there will be one big difference and that is the order in which states hold their primaries. We are all used to the Iowa caucuses being the first State to divide with the first proper primary being in New Hampshire. This time the Democratic party have been seeking to make the elections take place in it different order although the Republicans…
A lot politically is resting on today’s budget This is almost certainly the last budget before the general election and Hunt needs to get some good headlines on the way his proposals will impact on voters. This is always a tough one and LAB will be working hard this afternoon to find the negative messages. Remember the “Dementia Tax” not long ago. Just getting some LAB leads down to single figures would be a big boost for the Tories. The…
In the WH2024 betting a recent mover has been Niki Haley – the former Governor of South Carolina and US Ambassador to the UN. She. is now second to Trump in the nomination betting and is starting to get more media attention. Many Republicans are now seeing her as the one who could replace Trump as the nominee for next year’s election. This is a massive ask of her and the polling continues to show that Trump is doing very…
PBers will notice that I have not been active recently. Just over a fortnight ago I had a fall which is not a very good thing for someone approaching their 78th birthday. I was in Hospital for several nights (it seemed like an eternity) and hopefully will make a recovery. Next year offers so much in the political betting arena with the high chance of a UK General Election and of course in November the White House Race. I really…
In my view this was almost inevitable and Sunak showed his naivety by pushing it so far. Now how will LAB respond? Mike Smithson