Today has been the annual local election briefing for the media by the Tory elections specialist Lord Hayward and he made what should prove to be a fairly accurate prediction about Culture Secretary Dorries. True to form in that period after the polls have closed on May 4th and we await the results Hayward suggested she’ll be going on TV arguing that the Tories would have done far better if Johnson had still been in post. In fact in his…
Savanta poll: 67% say he should quit if it he found to have lied This is going to be a massive week for the former prime minister Boris Johnson with the report of the Commons Privileges Committee on whether he lied to the House about partygate. A new poll from Savanta finds that 67% of those quizzed say that he should quit if it is found that he did in fact tell a lie to the House of Commons. This…
This polling should worry the palace Not long now until May the 6th when King Charles is due to have his Coronation. This is all set to be a full state occasion all the splendour that we have come to know. But how many are really interested in the event and could it be that it ends up as a TV ratings flop? The above YouGov polling looks very problematic for the palace given that just 7% say they are…
One of the consistent stories since Boris Johnson stepped down from the Conservative leadership last year has been that he wants to return. In particular he wants to get his own back on Sunak whom he lays a lot of blame for him being forced out. This is not going to go away and that any moment that Sunak appears vulnerable the former PM could pounce. Johnson’s position on this is helped by the ongoing big Labour leads in the…
Will these be the election policy battlegrounds? A few days ago the Labour leader Keir Starmer set out what he described as Labour’s 5 missions as the first part of his build-up to the general election. It was almost certainly right of the Labour leader to start getting into more detail and the polling I think suggests where he is as strong and where the Tories are most vulnerable In terms of which party would do a good job, Labour…
Could this disproportionately impede Tory voters? The local elections on May 4th will be the first to be held where every voter will be asked to provide some form of photo ID when they seek to cast their vote at the polling station. Postal voting is not affected. There is a long list of acceptable forms of ID including driving licences, passports and for the elderly their concessionary bus pass if they have one. Verifying the ID is going to…