If the Tories want to relive the Truss premiership and having polling showing them finishing fifth in a general election after the Labour party , the SNP, the Lib Dems, and the Natural Law party then ending the triple lock might be the best way to go about it. I am surprised to see younger voters to be pro triple lock given the way that generation has been treated recently but I suppose they will be pensioners one day. Based…
TSE
I believe in the maxim that oppositions do not win elections but governments lose elections and this government has done more than most governments to lose the next election and expectation we are on course for a 1997 style result but I have my doubts. My primary doubt is because of the position Jeremy Corbyn bequeathed Sir Keir Starmer. Starmer started on 202 MPs and even before boundary changes Starmer has to make a net gain of 124 seats to…
Back in February talk emerged about Liz Truss making a comeback and looking to regain the Tory leadership, I still have my doubts on such a comeback and this polling just reinforces my view given as just 7% think her premiership went well which is the same number of Brits also say they have seen a UFO. I know parties do stupid things in opposition (see the leaderships of Iain Duncan Smith and Jeremy Corbyn as most infamous examples) but…
Back in July Jeremy Corbyn refused to rule out running for Mayor of London next year and I speculated this could potentially hand the London Mayoralty to the Tories and this recent polling from YouGov makes me think Corbyn really could do one final service to the Tory party. With the election now first past the post rather than the supplementary vote system Corbyn standing could hand the Tories the election, he could take enough votes from Khan. Those ratings…
Rishi Sunak’s main selling point was his competency yet the way the government have handled the RAAC story is pretty bad such as not disclosing the schools impacted but probably the worst blunder is hiding the Secretary of State for Education from the media today. The government need to reassure the public on this and releasing a video (atop this thread) that seems to be have been produced & directed by Chris Morris isn’t the way to go. This is…
Ipsos have published some fascinating polling on a range of metrics but the one, that in my humble opinion,we should focus on is the above chart which focuses on the favourability of political parties. Just look at that (net) unfavourable score for the Conservative party and then compare and contrast with the net favourability figure for the Labour party. If things remain like this on election day then the Tories are for a grim night because this polling results lends…
So finally Nadine Dorries does resign as an MP to trigger the most anticipated by election since Eastleigh 2013. I would recommend you all to read her resignation letter, it is without doubt the most embittered letter I’ve seen in politics. Click here to read the letter in full. She really doesn’t like Rishi Sunak, an adjective doesn’t exist to accurately describe the depth and feeling of her hatred and contempt for Sunak. On to the by election, I think…