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Today’s Sunday Times has this interesting analogy from Team Sunak about the next general election At Kerridge’s restaurant last Tuesday, a member of Rishi Sunak’s team, who is the victim of a recent break-up, was seeking solace in the Tories’ now troubled relationship with the electorate. “The Conservative party has misbehaved and has been put in the spare room,” he suggested. “We haven’t yet been kicked out of the house completely.” The reason for his hope was the continuing evidence…

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Ladbrokes have this market on whether a vote of no confidence will be triggered in Rishi Sunak this year. For one to be triggered 15% of Tory MPs need to send a letter to the chairman of the 1922 committee requesting such a vote. I cannot see a trigger event or events during the rest of the year that will see that threshold breached. So far in 2023 we’ve seen a plethora of record breaking by election defeats for Sunak,…

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Whilst the policy my might be popular in the wider context of the economy and a cost of living crisis I suspect it won’t move many votes. TSE

Like many I thought Sunak would hold the election in October/November 2024 but I am now leaning towards an election held next May, there’s a few advantages for holding it then. Using the budget as tax cutting launchpad for the election campaign. Avoids having an election taking place with the energy prices dominating the agenda during the colder months. It isn’t difficult to imagine OFGEM increasing the price cap next October. An autumn election would see Labour highlighting the second…

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As George W. Bush said ‘You can fool some of the people all the time, and those are the ones you want to concentrate on.’ TSE

What a time to be alive, never did I think I would be doing a thread header on whether the Home Secretary called a town a shithole. I cannot see any next cabinet minister to leave/Cleverly exit date markets but if there were I suspect I’d be backing Cleverly to survive this story. In politics perceptions sometimes matter than the facts and this will cement the belief that the Tories are full of arrogant out of touch elitists even if…

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I really want to know who shot JFK. The magic bullet theory is utter mince, anybody who believes that really shouldn’t have the vote, or leave the house alone. TSE

For those betting on Nigel Farage winning this year’s I’m A Celebrity, Get Me Out Of Here this polling from YouGov will make for sobering reason. I’d sooner trap an appendage in a door than watch this show at the best of times and I am not watching this year’s edition, despite the opportunity to see Nigel Farage’s bottom but I may bet on it based on these YouGov ratings, those of you who watch this show let me know…

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